Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

[Tron]

Matty, I like the Phillies too because the Pirates are about the worst 9-3 team you'll ever see but Jared Jones' xFIP is substantially lower than his ERA. I may stay away from this one because of that.

 

[Matty]

Tron is a Bayesian and Matty is a Frequentist.

 

[MrMonkey]

Matty, I like the Phillies too because the Pirates are about the worst 9-3 team you'll ever see but Jared Jones' xFIP is substantially lower than his ERA. I may stay away from this one because of that.

Talking to son last night and said Phils have to take 3 out of 4 but told me this Jones kid has 17 KK in 11 Innings. Don't go by me but I have watched all the games and keep swinging at plenty of pitches not in zone. Also on like 3-1 2-1 counts swinging at bad strikes. Last 2 games 13 KK both games. The team in the off season keep saying, we will be more selective but not seeing yet!

Better per game than 2023 and lol at 2022 but still .....

 

[MrMonkey]

@Matty though if/when Phils do have more patience .... damage will be done!
Remember, I have good write-ups/stats with my CBB plays. We all know how the majority of that works out!

 

[Matty]

Yeah I'm not concerned about the Phillies. Model projects them to 88.6 wins which is basically in line with the consensus.

 

[Matty]

Thursday April 11
NYM +155
MIN +110 POSTPONED
PHI -150
BAL -115

Rainouts are fun!

 

[Tron]

Phillies down to -135 definite no play for me in fact I may go Pirates now.

Reds postponed. Boooo

 

[roguejuror]

What would be your record minus the Chi Sox?

 

[Matty]

Still bad. ChiSox account for -4.25u:

 

[roguejuror]

My advice keep plugging them away

 

[Matty]

Yeah. They were so close to winning many of those games.

 

[Matty]

2-0 so far with Baltimore trailing 2-1 against BoSox for the last game of the day.

Go O's! Sweep the leg!!!

 

[Matty]

Boom! 3-2 O's

COMMON

 

[Matty]

COMMON

ONE TIME

3-3 going into the 9th

 

[Matty]

YAAAAAAAAS! 6-3

KEEP PUSHING BOYS

 

[Matty]

NOW HOOOOOOLD

 

[Matty]

Thursday April 11
NYM +155
PHI -150
BAL -115

3-0 SWEEP

+3.55u (+$36.56)

YTD 37-49 -8.77u $908.66

Will post tomorrow's PREMIUM SELECTIONS around noon.

 

[Tron]

3-0 SWEEP

View attachment 10272
+3.55u (+$36.56)

YTD 37-49 -8.77u $908.66

Will post tomorrow's PREMIUM SELECTIONS around noon.

SWOOSH

NOTHING BUT NET