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Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

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YTD 31-44 -10.79u $887.96

Wednesday April 10

MIN +150
STL +122
TOR -106
LAA +116
CHW +200
SDP -140
NYM +140
KCR +102
OAK +160

Good luck with your wagers today gentlemen. As one of my colleagues used to say, may you all get the day you deserve. :spinner:
 
Thanks for the good vibes Dingo but we're over 10 units in the hole, lol. Hoping to be back close to 0 by end of April. Might not happen though. I've had 2-month long stretches without a (paper or real) profit before.
 
Matty Rain: "I've compiled a team of AI bots that meticulously crunches the numbers using advanced algorithms to solve for win probabilities and how those measure up against current betting lines to find positive expected value situations for me to profitably bet on."

The bot team calculating the ChiSox win probabilities every day:

08gRra520W2xQ.jpg
 
Vegas Dave
Matty Rain: "I've compiled a team of AI bots that meticulously crunches the numbers using advanced algorithms to solve for win probabilities and how those measure up against current betting lines to find positive expected value situations for me to profitably bet on."

The bot team calculating the ChiSox win probabilities every day:

08gRra520W2xQ.jpg
Click to expand...
:punchballs: :punchballs: :punchballs:
 
I swore I wouldn't change a thing but those fucking White Sox are gonna make me lose my hair.

Model has them winning at a 42% clip which is 68 wins. That's 7 more than last year. Seems optimistic.

5 of their 10 losses were by one run.

Watch them go on a 5-game winning streak after I stop betting them.

:punchballs::punchballs: :punchballs: :punchballs: :punchballs:
 
FairWarning
ChiSox 2-3-4 hitters all out. Team sucked when they were healthy also. Pretty amazing they had B2B 5-0 leads vs Cleveland.
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Yah, they were a play even after taking Robert, Moncada and Jimenez out of the equation.

I can't decide whether my White Sox data is funky or whether I just need to keep plugging away. I'll double-check other 2024 projection models but from memory they were all nearly identical.

Does seem weird that I bet on them for all their games except one.
 
Matty
Yah, they were a play even after taking Robert, Moncada and Jimenez out of the equation.

I can't decide whether my White Sox data is funky or whether I just need to keep plugging away. I'll double-check other 2024 projection models but from memory they were all nearly identical.

Does seem weird that I bet on them for all their games except one.
Click to expand...
There is always a team or two that fall outside. I’ve tried to play against them in some form, Sucks because I played Cle in-game on Tues when they were down 5, then didn’t do it yesterday in the same spot.
 
I think I have no choice but to keep plugging away. I've been betting them at an average price of +170, which means I'll probably break even on them if they win 60 games (and I keep betting them almost every game). Anything above that is gravy.

Still need to confirm that my data is ok.
 
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Matty
YTD 31-44 -10.79u $887.96

Wednesday April 10

MIN +150 :greencheck:
STL +122 :redx:
TOR -106 :redx:
LAA +116 :redx:
CHW +200 :redx: :mad:
SDP -140 :greencheck:
NYM +140 POSTPONED
KCR +102 :greencheck:
OAK +160 :redx:

Good luck with your wagers today gentlemen. As one of my colleagues used to say, may you all get the day you deserve. :spinner:
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3-5 -1.54u (-$15.86)

YTD 34-49 -12.33u $872.10

Matty
Thursday April 11
NYM +155
MIN +110
PHI -150
BAL -115
Click to expand...

Fuck baseball

mad angry
 
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