Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

[Matty]

Twins FF! Now go A's!

 

[roguejuror]

 

[Matty]

At the ER with JL. He's fine, just some weird bug and a badly swollen throat. Not sure I'll be able to post plays in time though.

 

[roguejuror]

Was he outside? Maybe an insect bite?

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 244-240 +0.97u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 125-98-32 +11.78u

POD 16-13-1 +3.57u

Kelly bankroll after day 47 - $204.48
New Kelly bet amount - $6.13

Sunday June 23

FULL GAMES
NYY -104 (POD - 13.9% edge)

FIRST FIVE
NYY -112 (10.2% edge)

Adding

FULL GAMES
KCR +130 (5.8% edge)
OAK +150 (3.4% edge) (NOT betting this as the model also spits out MIN FF which has a much higher edge)

FIRST FIVE
CLE EV (5.2% edge)
MIN -172 (11.7% edge)

Adding

FULL GAMES
SFG +106 (5.7% edge)

Waiting on Tatis's status once again.

Adding

FULL GAMES
TBR +142 (3% edge)

FULL GAMES
1-4 -2.62u
YTD 245-244 -1.65u

FIRST FIVE
2-1 +0.88u
YTD 127-99-32 +12.66u

POD 16-14-1 +2.53u

Kelly bankroll after day 48 - $193.81
New Kelly bet amount - $5.81

 

[Matty]

Was he outside? Maybe an insect bite?

Could be so many things. We found head lice on him on Friday. We did the treatment same day and that seemed to work. He woke up with a sore throat the next morning. I dunno. Probably unrelated. He also got some sort of insect bites on his knee after getting a pretty nasty gym floor burn in the same area.

Kids are fun.

 

[Matty]

CHW +115 and KCR -250 are plays for sure

 

[Tron]

At the ER with JL. He's fine, just some weird bug and a badly swollen throat. Not sure I'll be able to post plays in time though.

Damn get well soon, JL. Badly swollen throats are no joke. Has he ever had allergy testing done?

 

[Matty]

It's probably strep throat. He freaks out when he can feel his swollen uvula. We should be getting some antibiotics shortly.

 

[Matty]

Adding

FULL GAMES
OAK +120 (5.2% edge)
CHC -118 (5.2% edge)

FIRST FIVE
WSH +168 (5.6% edge)

That's it! No POD today, back to regular programming tomorrow.

 

[stevek]

Heal up JL!

You are Gamelive's future!

 

[Blitty]

Feel better JL

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
1-4 -2.62u
YTD 245-244 -1.65u

FIRST FIVE
2-1 +0.88u
YTD 127-99-32 +12.66u

POD 16-14-1 +2.53u

Kelly bankroll after day 48 - $193.81
New Kelly bet amount - $5.81

CHW +115 and KCR -250 are plays for sure

Adding

FULL GAMES
OAK +120 (5.2% edge)
CHC -118 (5.2% edge)

FIRST FIVE
WSH +168 (5.6% edge)

That's it! No POD today, back to regular programming tomorrow.

FULL GAMES
1-3 -2.18u
YTD 246-247 -3.83u

FIRST FIVE
0-1 -1u
YTD 127-100-32 +11.66u

POD 16-14-1 +2.53u

Kelly bankroll after day 49 - $175.33
New Kelly bet amount - $5.26

 

[Matty]

Tuesday June 25

FIRST FIVE
CLE +140 (4% edge)

 

[Matty]

Adding

FULL GAMES
TOR +110 (4.5% edge)
NYM +125 (3.7% edge)
COL +225 (3.2% edge)

FIRST FIVE
NYY -148 (3.5% edge) (not actually betting this, NYM +125 takes precedence)
STL +110 (3% edge)

 

[Matty]

Adding

FULL GAMES
KCR -195 (9% edge)
MIL -110 (3.2% edge)
CHW +185 (8.3% edge)

 

[Matty]

Adding

FIRST FIVE
SDP +128 (8.8% edge)
CHC -102 (8.2% edge)

POD is KCR -195.

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 246-247 -3.83u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 127-100-32 +11.66u

POD 16-14-1 +2.53u

Kelly bankroll after day 49 - $175.33
New Kelly bet amount - $5.26

Tuesday June 25

FULL GAMES
TOR +110 (4.5% edge)
NYM +125 (3.7% edge)
COL +225 (3.2% edge)
KCR -195 (POD - 9% edge)
MIL -110 (3.2% edge)
CHW +185 (8.3% edge)

FIRST FIVE
CLE +140 (4% edge)
NYY -148 (3.5% edge) (not actually betting this, NYM +125 takes precedence)
STL +110 (3% edge)
SDP +128 (8.8% edge)
CHC -102 (8.2% edge)