Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

[stevek]

O's tonight

 

[Matty]

The FOKKIN BLUE JAYS @stevek

 

[roguejuror]

MIL

 

[Matty]

Teams should be forced to announce a starter by like 3pm Eastern.

Won't someone think of the gamblers?

 

[Matty]

Adding

ARI -130 (full game)
ARI -135 (first five)

 

[Matty]

Metropolitans!

 

[Matty]

Now would be a good time to pull your struggling starter, Metropolitans.

Edit - Nice, Mets FF cashed.

 

[roguejuror]

AZ saves the day

 

[Matty]

Yeh, +2u on the day thanks entirely to DBacks. We'll take it.

 

[stevek]

Yeh,

 

[Matty]

Yeh,

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 191-189 -0.21u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 83-64-21 +4.46u

POD 5-5 +0.17u

Kelly bankroll after day 28 - $181.74
New Kelly bet amount - $5.45

Monday June 3

FULL GAMES
TOR EV (My model looooves Kevin Gausman)

FIRST FIVE
MIL +180 (3.6% edge)
NYM EV (2.4% edge)

Adding

CIN -108 (full game)

Adding

ARI -130 (full game)
ARI -135 (first five)

FULL GAMES
2-1 +1u
YTD 193-190 +0.79u

FIRST FIVE
2-1 +1u
YTD 85-65-21 +5.46u

POD 5-6 -0.83u

Kelly bankroll after day 29 - $192.64
New Kelly bet amount - $5.78

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 193-190 +0.79u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 85-65-21 +5.46u

POD 5-6 -0.83u

Kelly bankroll after day 29 - $192.64
New Kelly bet amount - $5.78

Tuesday June 4

FULL GAMES
MIL +145 (7.2% edge)

FIRST FIVE
MIL +135 (16.3% edge - POD candidate)

 

[Matty]

Adding

FULL GAMES
KCR +105 (8.8% edge)
LAD -186 (8.1% edge)
MIA +108 (1.5% edge)
WSH +115 (5.6% edge)
BOS +145 (5.1% edge)
DET EV (4.8% edge)

FIRST FIVE
LAD -168 (8.8% edge)
SDP +106 (1.9% edge)

 

[Matty]

Adding

FULL GAMES
ARI -116 (5.7% edge)

POD is MIL FF +135

 

[stevek]

At least he didn't bet against the O's today

 

[Matty]

Yeah, he can be such a dum dum.

(Who are you talking to Stevie?)

 

[roguejuror]

Okay I'm ready