Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

[Matty]

Baseball is ghey

 

[Matty]

 

[roguejuror]

what a ghey day

 

[Matty]

Oh shit, Reds-Cubs is finally on. Go POD.

 

[roguejuror]

I get up and come back to pc CIN is up 4 runs, *leave again*, come back and CHC 4

 

[Matty]

The Reds are ghey
The Cubs are ghey
The Cubs are alsofuckingghey
Why are they so ghey
Ghey
Ghey
Everything is ghey

 

[roguejuror]

1am baseball is weeee

 

[Matty]

In the rain

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 186-183 +1.79u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 80-59-21 +6.91u

POD 4-4 +0.17u

Kelly bankroll after day 26 - $211.55
New Kelly bet amount - $6.35

Saturday June 1

FULL GAMES
TOR -150 (4.8% edge)
TBR +140 (2.5% edge)
NYM -134 (2.1% edge)
LAA +140 (6.1% edge)
PHI -148 (7.1% edge)
CIN +120 (POD - 11% edge)

FIRST FIVE
TBR +135 (7.7% edge)
BOS -104 (5.5% edge)
LAA +135 (6.1% edge)

FULL GAMES
1-5 -4.84u
YTD 187-188 -3.05u

FIRST FIVE
1-2 -1u
YTD 81-61-21 +5.91u

POD 4-5 -0.83u

Kelly bankroll after day 27 - $174.47
New Kelly bet amount - $5.23

 

[Matty]

Sunday June 2

FULL GAMES
TOR -162 (11.5% edge)

FIRST FIVE
HOU -145 (POD - 11.9% edge)
OAK +195 (5.2% edge)
TOR -166 (11% edge)
MIA +110 (1.8% edge)
CLE -150 (2.7% edge)

 

[Matty]

Adding

FULL GAMES
MIL -310 (7.5% edge)
KCR -130 (3.8% edge)
CHC -116 (3.1% edge)
NYY -140 (POD - 14% edge)

Disregard the HOU POD above, NYY is the biggest theoretical edge today.

 

[Matty]

Sunday June 2

FULL GAMES
TOR -162 (11.5% edge)
MIL -310 (7.5% edge)
KCR -130 (3.8% edge)
CHC -116 (3.1% edge)
NYY -140 (POD - 14% edge)

FIRST FIVE
HOU -145 (11.9% edge)
OAK +195 (5.2% edge)
TOR -166 (11% edge)
MIA +110 (1.8% edge)
CLE -145 (4.7% edge)

bump - ended up getting 5 cents better on CLE FF which bumped the edge from 2.7 to 4.7%

 

[Matty]

Yankees are down to -130, wtf is going on with this game?

 

[CASPERWAIT$]

Yankees are down to -130, wtf is going on with this game?

On the road. Bettors expecting Snell to start pitching better. San Fran comes off of a loss last night.

 

[Boner_18]

And still with 89% on NYY. I assume that's just in my app (so a NY market) but I'd be curious to see national trend.

 

[Matty]

I don't like the texture of this, but Yanks have been good to me. Heh.

 

[Matty]

Covers says 65% are on NYY.

 

[Matty]

Looks like I'm on the public's side on all the full games today.