Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

[Boner_18]

Oooo public vs non ROI would be fun to see.

 

[Matty]

Oooo public vs non ROI would be fun to see.

Agreed. Would just need a known reliable source to determine what the 'public" side is. I used to have a SportsInsights subscription for that.

 

[Matty]

Why can't I just win. Winning sounds nice.

 

[Matty]

VOGELBACHERBALLS makes it 4-3 Jays in the bottom of the 5th.

Thank for your service, sir.

 

[mcbaseball10]

Why can't I just win. Winning sounds nice.

Whining leads to winning.

 

[roguejuror]

RAISE IT

 

[roguejuror]

KC is alive at the BOT 9TH

 

[roguejuror]

2 run triple

 

[roguejuror]

RAISE IT

 

[FairWarning]

The Angels are *checks notes* a .5 game ahead of the Marlins after the Marlins went 14-13 in the month of May.

I sound like a broken record but it my opinion, the Angels are the most dog shit organization in MLB.

They haven't won a playoff game in 15 years and they had Ohtani and Trout together for 6 years.

I'd rather be a White Sox, A's or Marlins fan any day of the week.

As a longtime Angels fan, you nailed it.

 

[roguejuror]

Another 9th rally

 

[Matty]

Sunday June 2

FULL GAMES
TOR -162 (11.5% edge)
MIL -310 (7.5% edge)
KCR -130 (3.8% edge)
CHC -116 (3.1% edge)
NYY -140 (POD - 14% edge)

FIRST FIVE
HOU -145 (11.9% edge)
OAK +195 (5.2% edge)
TOR -166 (11% edge)
MIA +110 (1.8% edge)
CLE -145 (4.7% edge)

FULL GAMES
4-1 +2.84u
YTD 191-189 -0.21u

FIRST FIVE
2-3 -1.45u
YTD 83-64-21 +4.46u

POD 5-5 +0.17u

Kelly bankroll after day 28 - $181.74
New Kelly bet amount - $5.45

 

[roguejuror]

today was not ghey

 

[Matty]

Yeh, every day should be like today.

 

[Archie]

get em

 

[stevek]

Go go go

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 191-189 -0.21u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 83-64-21 +4.46u

POD 5-5 +0.17u

Kelly bankroll after day 28 - $181.74
New Kelly bet amount - $5.45

Monday June 3

FULL GAMES
TOR EV (My model looooves Kevin Gausman)

FIRST FIVE
MIL +180 (3.6% edge)
NYM EV (2.4% edge)

 

[Matty]

Adding

CIN -108 (full game)

POD is (likely) the FOKKIN BLUE JAYS with a 9.5% theoretical edge,

Still waiting for starters for Giants-DBacks.