Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

[Matty]

You know what Steve?

Shut up.

😘

 

[roguejuror]

On the bright side it's the White Sox on the other end

 

[Matty]

I'm going in assuming that Kevin Gausman will steal my money again.

 

[stevek]

Lost $195 playing poker at Rivers the other day playing 1/3.

Didn't really do anything wrong. Aces no good, Kings no good, etc.

My ass was just meant to be fucked.

2 hours -$195 -$97.5/hr

 

[Matty]

Adding

COL +115 (full game)

Still waiting for starters for PHI-SFG.

 

[Matty]

My ass was just meant to be fucked.

 

[Matty]

Adding

PHI -196 (full game)

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 177-173 +0.84u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 72-56-20 +1.61u

POD
3-1 +2.41u

Kelly bankroll after day 22 - $178.99
New Kelly bet amount - $5.37

Tuesday May 28

FULL GAMES
WSH +220
TOR -215
COL +115
PHI -196
ARI +110 (POD - 10.6% edge)
SDP -136

FIRST FIVE
MIL -170
TOR -198
SDP -122

bump - POD is now Dbacks +110 with the Tigers game being postponed.

I also added SDP full game + FF

 

[Matty]

CORRECTION - POD is back to being Rockies +115 with Eovaldi being the starter in the Dbacks game. It went from Dane Dunning to Eovaldi. 🤷‍♂️ Dbacks are still a play but the edge is now minimal.

 

[Matty]

FF bets are in the black today, 2-1 +0.3u. I'll take it.

 

[roguejuror]

at least we got toronto

 

[Matty]

Phillies really fucked us there.

Gonna do a ranking of every team by results so far, curious to see who's been the most profitable team. Jays are definitely last.

 

[roguejuror]

I will guess it's the Yankees or the Brewers

 

[Matty]

Results by units +/-, by team (full games)

1	SFG	5.43
2	SDP	5.41
3	MIL	5.27
4	NYY	4.85
5	CIN	4.83
6	KCR	2.83
7	BAL	2.74
8	PHI	2.29
9	CHC	2.25
10	TEX	2.07
11	PIT	1.96
12	TBR	1.95
13	SEA	1.6
14	WSN	1.22
15	COL	0.95
16	CLE	0.64
17	ATL	0.52
18	OAK	-0.01
19	BOS	-0.14
20	DET	-0.68
21	ARI	-0.75
22	LAA	-1.31
23	LAD	-2.1
24	CHW	-2.43
25	NYM	-3.92
26	MIN	-4.23
27	MIA	-4.3
28	STL	-5.31
29	HOU	-6.4
30	TOR	-16.91

 

[CASPERWAIT$]

Damn Toronto really is your kryptonite

You should bet Baltimore more lmao

 

[roguejuror]

but where would Matty be in life without Toronto

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 177-173 +0.84u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 72-56-20 +1.61u

POD
3-1 +2.41u

Kelly bankroll after day 22 - $178.99
New Kelly bet amount - $5.37

Tuesday May 28

FULL GAMES
WSH +220
TOR -215
COL +115 - POD
PHI -196
ARI +110
SDP -136

FIRST FIVE
MIL -170
TOR -198
SDP -122

FULL GAMES
2-4 -2.96u
YTD 179-177 -2.12u

FIRST FIVE
2-1 +0.3u
YTD 74-57-20 +1.91u

POD 3-2 +1.41u

Kelly bankroll after day 23 - $164.71
New Kelly bet amount - $4.94

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 179-177 -2.12u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 74-57-20 +1.91u

POD 3-2 +1.41u

Kelly bankroll after day 23 - $164.71
New Kelly bet amount - $4.94

Wednesday May 29

FULL GAMES
DET -146 (game 1) (potential POD - 8.6% edge)

FIRST FIVE
DET -150 (game 1)