Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

[mcbaseball10]

Yikes. I jinxed it.

 

[Tron]

The Blue Jays are a dumpster fire

 

[roguejuror]

***I am not actually betting this. Just tracking it for the purpose of this experiment. The model spit out BOS for the full game (4.3% edge) and MIL for the first five (2.7% edge) so I'm only betting the full game. This was caused by my WAR data being a lot more favorable to MIL's Tobias Myers when extrapolated to 200 innings pitched, which is the value I use for betting first fives.

a push and a win

 

[Matty]

Yeah.

This is going to be a bad day Rogatien. I'm emotionally ready for it,

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 173-164 +8.09u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 70-55-17 +1.1u

POD
2-0 +3.05u

Kelly bankroll after day 20 - $221.75
New Kelly bet amount - $6.65

Sunday May 26

FULL GAMES
TOR -130
LAD -215
WSH +145
BOS -145
CHW +140
LAA EV
STL -135
MIN -164 (POD - 8.7% edge)

FIRST FIVE
MIL +120*** 🟡
COL +175
SDP -104

bump and update

let's rally, baseballers

 

[roguejuror]

Yeah.

This is going to be a bad day Rogatien. I'm emotionally ready for it,

At least the CWS are pulling a No-Hitter

EDIT nvm

 

[Matty]

A very bad day.

 

[roguejuror]

hey at least SDP didn't lose, but didn't win either 🎉

 

[Matty]

My units Rogatien. I'm going to give up all my precious units in one day. #sadface

 

[Matty]

Dear St. Louis Cardinals, please salvage what's left of this disastrous day. 🙏

 

[Matty]

Let's start with the good news:

FIRST FIVE
1-0-2 +1.75u
YTD 71-55-19 +2.85u

 

[roguejuror]

this disastrous day

even Kavya cried

 

[Matty]

Don't cry booboo

I'll get my units back, eventually

 

[FairWarning]

Dear St. Louis Cardinals, please salvage what's left of this disastrous day. 🙏

Doesn’t look good that this gets played.

 

[Matty]

I'll gladly take my money back on a day like today.

 

[roguejuror]

matty how are you?

 

[Matty]

Cards came through (barely) and limited the damage. Also, the Nats bet was made using a free play that I got (because I had 3 HR hit against me in a previous loss? Ok sure, thanks TheScore Bet.)

I've somehow grown my original 400 bucks into 1200 thanks to promos/bonuses. Winning actual units would be cool but this is still something.

 

[Matty]

matty how are you?

I'm very good, how are you boss?