Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

[roguejuror]

ooh a rare Red Sox play

 

[stevek]

He never plays the Orioles, the future WSOP Champs.

 

[Matty]

I've been on the O's 9 times and I'm 7-2 with them.

 

[roguejuror]

how many on BOS?

 

[Matty]

2-2 +0.5u when betting Boston

 

[Tron]

He never plays the Orioles, the future WSOP Champs.

 

[Matty]

World Series Of Pickleball?!?

 

[Matty]

Just got this in the mail today @stevek

Matty Rain's a huge Orioles fan.

 

[Matty]

Holy shit. I've lost over 13 units on the Jays. I'm 3-15 when I bet them. Unbelievable.

 

[Matty]

Adding

SFG +125 (full game)

 

[Matty]

2-1 Metropolitans in the 5th

Please don't fuck me

 

[Matty]

Two straight walks in the bottom of the 5th. Nice.

 

[Matty]

...aaaaand we're fucked.

 

[Matty]

[bump]

FULL GAMES
YTD 141-136 +6.24u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 48-42-14 -7.15u

Kelly bankroll after day 9 - $184.22
New Kelly bet amount - $5.53

Wednesday May 15

FULL GAMES
TOR +115
ARI -145
KCR +125
BOS -130
TEX -162
STL -122
NYM +166
SFG +125

FIRST FIVE
MIL -145
KCR +124
HOU -235
NYM +154

 

[roguejuror]

 

[Matty]

Cards were never in it. Bastids.

I'm super fascinated by my Blue Jays record. I'm now 3-15, -13.49u when betting them. I was on them for 15 of their 23 losses. That seems significant. My WAR data isn't even big on them - I have them winning 83 games this season.

Like, what the fuck.

 

[Matty]

[bump]

FULL GAMES
YTD 141-136 +6.24u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 48-42-14 -7.15u

Kelly bankroll after day 9 - $184.22
New Kelly bet amount - $5.53

Wednesday May 15

FULL GAMES
TOR +115
ARI -145
KCR +125
BOS -130
TEX -162
STL -122
NYM +166
SFG +125

FIRST FIVE
MIL -145
KCR +124
HOU -235
NYM +154

FULL GAMES
3-5 -2.27u
YTD 144-141 +3.97u

FIRST FIVE
2-2 +/-0u
YTD 50-44-14 -7.15u

Kelly bankroll after day 10 - $171.67
New Kelly bet amount - $5.15

 

[Vegas Dave]

Cards were never in it. Bastids.

I'm super fascinated by my Blue Jays record. I'm now 3-15, -13.49u when betting them. I was on them for 15 of their 23 losses. That seems significant. My WAR data isn't even big on them - I have them winning 83 games this season.

Like, what the fuck.

My brother is a big Jays fan. Apparently their manager is well known to be a total moron. Has taken all the joy out of the game for the young players (ended all of their home run celebration shenanigans, etc.) AND does a bunch of stupid in-game stuff. Like the other day, starting a rookie in an OF position he's never played, which wound up resulting in a game-deciding error.

Obviously none of this matters and sample size and variance and all that, but yeah, kind of makes sense that a bad manager can underperform expectations.