The Polaroid Random Thoughts Baseball Thread

[MonkeyF0cker]

you wanted to bet they wouldn't finish 4th.... after I predicted it

besides, last year they were only a closer from contending... they got bullpen help...

so who else did they lose? what is Prince's WAR 20?

LOL

Yeah. It was an +EV wager. Just because it has a good chance of losing now doesn't make it a bad bet then. Do you really need to hear Gambling 101 after all of your years on the forums?

They were a closer from contending. They got K-Rod and made the playoffs.

They lost Casey McGehee, Jerry Hairston, and Mark Kotsay along with Fielder. Yes, Prince Fielder's WAR was 20. Because that's accurate.

I don't see anywhere in that post that mentions that's the ONLY reason they'll struggle.

You two statistically-challenged dopes are cute together though.

LOL.

 

[MonkeyF0cker]

what are you talking about?

you did see it an we have a $100 dollar bet on marlins finishing better than the Brewers record....

via SP chat

we talked about it in this thread too though

I got +183 and took Marlins

Sharp.

 

[MonkeyF0cker]

stay out of this Daffy-Pawn

unless you want some

Brew crew to less games than Miami +183

Sharp.

 

[FairWarning]

what are you talking about?

you did see it an we have a $100 dollar bet on marlins finishing better than the Brewers record....

via SP chat

we talked about it in this thread too though

I got +183 and took Marlins

Do we? OK. I forgot about it.

 

[Archie]

Marlins asking too much for Johnson

 

[Archie]

Do we? OK. I forgot about it.

nevermind its 50.. I'll bump it

but unless IAG or CY remembers the confirmation in chat, it can be canceled as i know it was a big drinking weekend for you

 

[Archie]

2012 Major League Baseball Season Win Totals

(Odds courtesy Atlantis Casino sportsbook, Reno, Nev.)

Arizona Diamondbacks 84.5
Atlanta Braves 86.5
Baltimore Orioles 70.5
Boston Red Sox 87.5
Chicago Cubs 73.5
Chicago White Sox 76.5
Cincinnati Reds 86.5 (-120o)
Cleveland Indians 75.5
Colorado Rockies 82.5
Detroit Tigers 94.5
Houston Astros 62.5
Kansas City Royals 78.5
Los Angeles Angels 89.5
Los Angeles Dodgers 81.5
Miami Marlins 82.5
Milwaukee Brewers 82.5
Minnesota Twins 74.5 (-120u)
New York Mets 74.5 (-120u)
New York Yankees 93.5 (-120u)
Oakland Athletics 72.5
Philadelphia Phillies 95.5
Pittsburgh Pirates 73.5 (-120u)
San Diego Padres 70.5
San Francisco Giants 87.5
Seattle Mariners 72.5
St. Louis Cardinals 87.5 (-120u)
Tampa Bay Rays 87.5
Texas Rangers 94.5
Toronto Blue Jays 81
Washington Nationals 80.5

Milwaukee shouldn't be that bad. They have decent SP.

Braun might be available all year for brew crew. I still foresee a 4th place nl central finish for this mediocre team

Care to wager on that?

HUGH SBR points wager ONE TIME

stay out of this Daffy-Pawn

unless you want some

Brew crew to less games than Miami +183

If you are serious, I'll bet you 50 on that.

Milwaukee down to +4000 at 5 dimes - same as the cubs.

Ok, I'll get with this weekend in chat about the details

FW around page 28-30

 

[FairWarning]

Mil lost the 1B for the year in April,really hurt them.They traded away their minor league depth for Sabathia and K-Rod. Mil and Miami will wipe out a lot of win total props for me.

 

[FairWarning]

FW around page 28-30

I believe you,totally forgot. I honor my bets.

 

[FairWarning]

Its that time of year when reality is setting in and are playing out the season until the September call-ups arrive.

Marco Scutaro traded to SF

 

[Archie]

I believe you,totally forgot. I honor my bets.

ok, its a dead heat anyways! good luck

 

[FairWarning]

ok, its a dead heat anyways! good luck

Our "We suck less"bet.Nothing like AAAers deciding this bet.

 

[Tron]

If TEX wants to give MIA two of of Profar/Olt/Perez I'm fine with them moving Josh Johnson.

Since 2006

Justin Verlander total starts: 218

Josh Johnson: 132

 

[FairWarning]

Texas needs another hitter right now more than they need a pitcher.

Angels +1100 to win WS at 5 Dimes.

 

[Tron]

Texas needs another hitter right now more than they need a pitcher.

Angels +1100 to win WS at 5 Dimes.

I don't think the TEX front office shares this sentiment.

 

[FairWarning]

I don't think the TEX front office shares this sentiment.

Maybe not, but the lack of consistent offense this month is a concern. Hamilton sitting tonight, not a bad idea.

For those with a Kindle, Baseball Prospectus released an ebook called The Call Up. It's an update to the Prospectus book, costs 3.99.

 

[FairWarning]

White Sox get Francisco Liriano.

 

[Tron]

Three teams in all of MLB have a run differential lower than the Marlins -79:

Rockies
Astros
Twins

Only the Cubs have scored less runs than the Marlins in MLB


Definitely a solid core that should not have been dismantled at the deadline.