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The Polaroid Random Thoughts Baseball Thread

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Polaroid
No way will either player get that type of money. For starters, the three biggest spending markets (NYY, PHI and BOS) have all got long term deals to cover the 1B position for years to come - when you take those three out of the potential market, there is little to no chance of any bidding war. The fact that the two are on the market at the same time lessens what they would get otherwise. Fielder is the archetypal slugger who posts an awesome wOBA but who is a big liability in defense and running the bases, much like Ryan Howard. Let's also note that Howard signed one of the bizarre deals I've ever seen which ties him to the Phillies for years to come even though his decline phase appeared to start in 2010. No team is going to take a $200 million risk on Fielder when the price of a good DH this season was $2 million (see Manny).

Pujols is simply too old too warrant a $300 million signing (although he is more likely to get that number than Fielder is to get $200 million). Over the past decade, he has been the best player in baseball and no-one comes close to him. If you base value on wins above replacement (which you should) then for any period from his debut in 2001 (2001-2011, 2002-2011, 2003-2011 right up to 2009-2011) he has amassed more WAR than any player in each of those nine time periods. This year he is performing well above average but he isn't in the top 30 batters over the course of the season. Having by far the worst season in your career is really bad when you're expecting a long term and high money deal.
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with the two big signings of Fielder and Pujols this off-season, we forget to celebrate the REASON why Poloroid with help from Herman started this thread! here is post #1 again.
 
2012 Major League Baseball Season Win Totals

(Odds courtesy Atlantis Casino sportsbook, Reno, Nev.)

Arizona Diamondbacks 84.5
Atlanta Braves 86.5
Baltimore Orioles 70.5
Boston Red Sox 87.5
Chicago Cubs 73.5
Chicago White Sox 76.5
Cincinnati Reds 86.5 (-120o)
Cleveland Indians 75.5
Colorado Rockies 82.5
Detroit Tigers 94.5
Houston Astros 62.5
Kansas City Royals 78.5
Los Angeles Angels 89.5
Los Angeles Dodgers 81.5
Miami Marlins 82.5
Milwaukee Brewers 82.5
Minnesota Twins 74.5 (-120u)
New York Mets 74.5 (-120u)
New York Yankees 93.5 (-120u)
Oakland Athletics 72.5
Philadelphia Phillies 95.5
Pittsburgh Pirates 73.5 (-120u)
San Diego Padres 70.5
San Francisco Giants 87.5
Seattle Mariners 72.5
St. Louis Cardinals 87.5 (-120u)
Tampa Bay Rays 87.5
Texas Rangers 94.5
Toronto Blue Jays 81
Washington Nationals 80.5
 
Here's the early list from USA Today for top 200 players with regards to fantasy baseball!

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/fantasy/story/2012-02-20/top-200-list/53179570/1


Tiger pair look ready! Yes, that is their playing weight! These 2 might push each other to new heights! Scary!
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