Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 144-142 +0.87u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 50-45-14 -10.05u

Kelly bankroll after day 11 - $140.77
New Kelly bet amount - $4.22

Friday May 17

FULL GAMES
PHI -240
SDP +190
SFG -140
KCR -190

FIRST FIVE
PIT -124
BAL -130
SDP +180
LAA +154
MIL -120
ARI +132

FULL GAMES
4-0 +4.9u
YTD 148-142 +5.77u

FIRST FIVE
4-2 +3.14u
YTD 54-47-14 -6.91u

 

[roguejuror]

 

[roguejuror]

what are we going to do tonight, brain?

 

[Matty]

After we stop browsing for Paul Skenes's 1st Bowman Chrome card, we're gonna keep doing our thing.

I can't decide whether I'm over-weighing pitching or not for the first five bets. I don't think I am. Sample size is tiny. Sustained losing streaks just suck.

 

[CASPERWAIT$]

FFInnings I notice the starting pitching is SO heavily weighed IMO.

Teams like the Red Sox (who tend not to use pitchers more than 5 or 6 innings regardless of the outing) are teams I try to avoid in FF. Too many times already this season I’ve seen Cora pull a starting pitcher after 3 innings.

 

[Matty]

FYI we made 8.04 units last night. We're up 2.04 units the last 2 days even after blowing 6 of them on the Dodgers a couple nights ago.

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 148-142 +5.77u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 54-47-14 -6.91u

Kelly bankroll after day 12 - $174.70
New Kelly bet amount - $5.24

Saturday May 18

FULL GAMES
TOR -130

FIRST FIVE
NYY -265

Be back later for the rest of the games, still waiting for starters for SEA-BAL and NYM-MIA and I haven't gone through the evening matchups yet.

Gonna go ride my neighbour's fancy gravel bike, he lent it to me for the weekend. 🚴‍♀️

 

[Matty]

Gravel bikes are comfy but slow. Do not want.

Adding

FULL GAMES
BAL -126 @stevek
NYM -124
MIN -118
SDP +102
LAA +120

FIRST FIVE
BAL -115 @stevek
PHI -140
STL EV
ARI -135

Reds full game are a borderline play. Hoping to see +190 before gametime. GL today gentlemen.

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 148-142 +5.77u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 54-47-14 -6.91u

Kelly bankroll after day 12 - $174.70
New Kelly bet amount - $5.24

Saturday May 18

FULL GAMES
TOR -130

FIRST FIVE
NYY -265

Adding

FULL GAMES
BAL -126
NYM -124
MIN -118
SDP +102
LAA +120

FIRST FIVE
BAL -115
PHI -140
STL EV
ARI -135

Bump

 

[Matty]

I'm about to be 3-16 when betting the Jays this season. Unreal.

 

[roguejuror]

No FF lost

 

[Matty]

Philly did

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 148-142 +5.77u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 54-47-14 -6.91u

Kelly bankroll after day 12 - $174.70
New Kelly bet amount - $5.24

Saturday May 18

FULL GAMES
TOR -130
BAL -126
NYM -124
MIN -118
SDP +102
LAA +120

FIRST FIVE
NYY -265
BAL -115
PHI -140
STL EV 🟡
ARI -135 🟡

FULL GAMES
0-5 -5.98u
YTD 148-147 -0.22u

FIRST FIVE
2-1-2 +0.6u
YTD 56-48-16 -6.31u

Kelly bankroll after day 13 - $146.51
New Kelly bet amount - $4.40

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 148-147 -0.22u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 56-48-16 -6.31u

Kelly bankroll after day 13 - $146.51
New Kelly bet amount - $4.40

Sunday May 19

FULL GAMES
STL +110
BAL -140 @stevek
NYM -140
MIL +115
PIT +110
LAA +136

FIRST FIVE
STL +122
NYM -135
MIL +112

 

[Matty]

Adding

FULL GAMES
LAD -174
SDP +102

FIRST FIVE
LAA +122
LAD -165
SDP -105

That's a lot of bets.

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 148-147 -0.22u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 56-48-16 -6.31u

Kelly bankroll after day 13 - $146.51
New Kelly bet amount - $4.40

Sunday May 19

FULL GAMES
STL +110
BAL -140
NYM -140
MIL +115
PIT +110
LAA +136
LAD -174
SDP +102

FIRST FIVE
STL +122
NYM -135
MIL +112
LAA +122
LAD -165
SDP -105

 

[Matty]

I bet LAD based on the info I had that Yamamoto was starting, not this Landon Knack bum. With Knack on the mound the Reds would've been the play at +135 or better.

Let's lucksack this bitch.

 

[Matty]

Lucksacked the first 5