Hooligans Sportsbook

Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

Follow
So this is our trajectory so far. I had a few more winning plays that weren't posted on here, therein lies the discrepancy (sue me.)

I think I updated my WAR data at the bottom of the valley there. (Edit - yeah, April 14 is when I switched from pre-season projections to in-season updates.)

It's still way too early to draw any conclusions. But we do like the texture of the last coupla weeks, lol.

1714393611832.png
 
Last edited:
Love the in-season WAR updates. Obviously with variance early season slump could have been exaggerated and current success could be exaggerated, but logically speaking, using current WAR should be a much better indicator than previous season (which of course is all we can go on early on before data is collected).
 
I updated again this morning. Every update is pretty significant, and yes the average delta with pre-season data is pretty wide. I should probably do like a lot of MLB guys do and skip the first 2 weeks next year.

Then again yeah, it could still all be random walk. There is always a strong urge to see patterns where there might not be any.
 
Matty
I updated again this morning. Every update is pretty significant, and yes the average delta with pre-season data is pretty wide. I should probably do like a lot of MLB guys do and skip the first 2 weeks next year.
Click to expand...
And Casper SHOULD avoid drama but ya'll are what you are and we love you all the same.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.