Matty Rain's 2024-25 NHL Thread

[Matty]

Unbelievable

 

[Matty]

Note to Matty

 

[Matty]

YTD 28-30 +7.6u

Thursday October 24

Dallas Stars -120
St. Louis Blues +195
Detroit Red Wings +130
Minnesota Wild +122
Utah Hockey Club +114
San Jose Sharks +260

Panthers are a borderline play, waiting for +135 or better.

 

[Tron]

I notice that your NHL model does not spit out nearly as many big favorites as your MLB model.

 

[Matty]

Yes, I'm noticing the same. I think my big mistake in MLB was using YTD WAR for position players and full-season projections for pitchers. I shoulda used full-season projections for everyone.

And I think my idea of using an ELO rating system makes sense in baseball. It's not even an original idea, people are doing it. That's exciting to see.

 

[stevek]

The Flyers suck

 

[roguejuror]

are the sharks going to be matty's hockey blue jays?

 

[Cougar Bait]

Only thing we match on is Dallas

So that's a 1 goal loss FYI

 

[roguejuror]

Panthers are a borderline play, waiting for +135 or better.

how about them Panthers?

 

[Matty]

I only have access to +130 right now. Pondering it.

 

[roguejuror]

I took it at +134

 

[Matty]

No bet for me still, but yeah +134 would be good enough

 

[stevek]

Yeah, that's good enough

 

[Matty]

Thanks Stevie. (Stevie is a much appreciated volunteer math checker for Matty Rain Enterprises.)

 

[Matty]

YTD 28-30 +7.6u

Thursday October 24

Dallas Stars -120
St. Louis Blues +195
Detroit Red Wings +130
Minnesota Wild +122
Utah Hockey Club +114
San Jose Sharks +260

Panthers are a borderline play, waiting for +135 or better.

4-0 +5.47u after the early games

Worst-case scenario is 4-2 +3.47u



COMMON SHARKS, YOU CAN DO THAT HOCKEY, SORT OF

 

[Tron]

Let’s just call it a mini BING BONG at minimum

 

[Matty]

Sharks win would be HUGH

 

[Tron]

Current Sharks texture is………White Sox