Hooligans Sportsbook

The Durito 500

What's derailed? I am still giving Durito the option of selecting a poster if I lose.


Ficshy, Durito drinks and likes me less when doing so. I suffer from abused ego syndrome and accept ridiculously over my head challenges when I'm off my medication. Gamelive will get 1000 totals bets to play of fade from the both of us.
 
I don't understand why you have this bit. You make it sound like there is some advantage in betting big moneylines. I doubt durito would mind if you want to bet all -600 ML's.

Why not just bet whatever you want, track your units and if you are up, you are up.

Actually, in 500 bets, if you were to bet all -600 ML's with an actual FV of 84%, you'd have a 14.957% chance of showing a profit even with a negative edge (429 successes out of 500). If you were to bet 500 -110 spreads where the FV is 50%, you'd have a 15.183% chance of showing a profit. It's actually disadvantageous to bet higher ML's with a negative edge (and the negative edge that I proposed for the large ML is much smaller than the ATS one).