Hooligans Sportsbook

The Durito 500

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he tweaks it obviously, he mentions that in the posts somtimes.. its an on going experiment and process.

I just felt that maybe he didn't know about the Mitchell suspension as you might have also suspected, and the line has moved away from him.

I know there is no happiness in Morgantown with Huggy and his team, and I think it will serve them well going forward. but I wouldn't hae touched that game
 
Straight power ranking, pinny leans (subjective) and a filter, that's it. I don't pay attention to players, stats, rankings or anything else. What I am doing is as simple as it gets. Freeing myself of all the burden of over-analyzing is working. When it stops working I'll adjust but right now it's working.
 
Yep, good record thus far. Impressive. Another question, do you guess at line moves before you put in a play? For instance, since Mitchell being out is a big deal, I would have waited to bet that game until closer to tip to get the best line thinking the public would push it a couple points and you could get better value. I don't always personally have the option to bet games early though, but I saw you posted those plays fairly early and wanted to ask.
 
I have played around with predicting line movement with little to no success. I think there is more technique and experience required in estimating/predicting line movement than the other areas of capping. That is just my opinion though and by no means should it be taken beyond just that.
 
wal66
Today's Plays:

Drexel +4.5 (-110) LOSER
Villanova -6 (-110) LOSER
West Virginia +6.5 (-110) WINNER
Delaware +2.5 (-110) WINNER
Old Dominion -8 (-110) LOSER
Evansville +7 (-110) WINNER
Rhode Island +3 (-110) WINNER
Air Force +9 (-110) WINNER
Illinois St +3 (-110) WINNER
Charleston -17 (-110) LOSER

Several of these plays were a 1/2 point better line than what is posted at Pinny at the time of posting.
Click to expand...

6-4 (+140)
Way better than I thought it would turn out when the games began. At one point I was begging to get to 3-7.
 
Do you believe in Omens? Im not sure if I do or dont but there have been times when I have started to do something and a random event happened to distract me and then when I finally got back around to doing what it was that I initially started to do it ended up bad.

Today I have started out 4 different times to post tonights plays and 3 of those times someone came out to the plant. I might get a visitor once every other week and I had 3 today. This tells me I should stay away tonight but I will tempt fate and post them any ways.

Todays Plays:

Vanderbilt -6 (-110)
North Texas -3.5 (-110)
Cleveland St -10 (-110)
Boise St +1 (-110)
Cal Riverside +3.5 (-110)
San Francisco +5 (-110)
Saint Marys +3.5 (-110)
Furman -3 (-110)
Austin Peay pk (-110)

All plays are $100 to win $90.
 
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