Hooligans Sportsbook

The Durito 500

I had fun RJ and what's more I played fairly well considering I hadn't touched my clubs since Thanksgiving weekend.

Did anyone take a chance with Indiana St? They were a 2 point dog that rated out as a 4 point fav and won outright. I played them and also a parlay with Baltimore, Northwestern and the UNDER in the San Jose/Anaheim game.

Maybe we will get this cranked back up tomorrow. I forced too many plays on Saturday so I need to be very particular and get some wins.

Thanks Herman.

Muddy we need to do a Mud Play this week.
 
All 3 of these games qualified well above the minimum requirement. I am a little concerned about them all being road teams again, especially after what happened Saturday but I will continue to play my program until it proves completely flawed.

Today's Plays:

Notre Dame +3 (-110) $100 to win $90
Elon -3 (-120) $100 to win $80
Austin Peay -10 (-120) $100 to win $80


I am doing something I haven't been doing much of with the program. I only play games with a comfortable margin built in so the 1/2 point I generally ignore but I'm going against that tonight.
 
I dunot know why he wont do to win 1 u it as I suggested instead of grading -111 plays at -110. This is a game of cents and you need to pick them up wherever you can


I think Wally's original Mission Statement touched on his disdain for this sort of thinking. He is about overpowering all math with good picking.

Wally farts in durito's general direction and flashes his private parts at durito's aunty.
 
First off Muddy is correct at (-120) it would be $100 to win $83.

Now for you math guys.

Let's say on the 3 games tonight and say I lose the 2 games that are (-120) and say I win the 1 game that is (-110) and let's say I do everything to win $100. I will lose $240 and win $100 for a net loss of $140.

Now let's do the math on the way I have done it. I lose the 2 games that are (-120) and I win the 1 game that is (-110). I lose $200 but I win $90 back for a net loss of $110.

I would go 1-2 in both scenarios but I saved $30 my way.


Now flip the script and say I win both (-120) game and lose the 1 (-110) game.

At $110 to win $100, I win $200 but lose $110 back for a $90 profit.
At $100 to win $83, I win $166 but lose $100 back for a profit of only $66.


Summary:

Losing scenario: My way saves me $30.
Winning scenario cost me a $24 profit.

30 - 24 = 6

I'm $6 a head my way.

You guys confuse math for simple logic sometimes.
 
All 3 of these games qualified well above the minimum requirement. I am a little concerned about them all being road teams again, especially after what happened Saturday but I will continue to play my program until it proves completely flawed.

Today's Plays:

Notre Dame +3 (-110) $100 to win $90 LOSER
Elon -3 (-120) $100 to win $80 WINNER
Austin Peay -10 (-120) $100 to win $80 PUSH


I am doing something I haven't been doing much of with the program. I only play games with a comfortable margin built in so the 1/2 point I generally ignore but I'm going against that tonight.


Reno, had I not bought the hook I would have gone 1-2 instead of 1-1-1. I know it's not smart long term but I will take it tonight.

1-1-1 (-$20) Actually it would be (-$17) but I will eat the ($3) for my mistake in listing the prices.
 
First off Muddy is correct at (-120) it would be $100 to win $83.

Now for you math guys.

Let's say on the 3 games tonight and say I lose the 2 games that are (-120) and say I win the 1 game that is (-110) and let's say I do everything to win $100. I will lose $240 and win $100 for a net loss of $140.

Now let's do the math on the way I have done it. I lose the 2 games that are (-120) and I win the 1 game that is (-110). I lose $200 but I win $90 back for a net loss of $110.

I would go 1-2 in both scenarios but I saved $30 my way.


Now flip the script and say I win both (-120) game and lose the 1 (-110) game.

At $110 to win $100, I win $200 but lose $110 back for a $90 profit.
At $100 to win $83, I win $166 but lose $100 back for a profit of only $66.


Summary:

Losing scenario: My way saves me $30.
Winning scenario cost me a $24 profit.

30 - 24 = 6

I'm $6 a head my way.

You guys confuse math for simple logic sometimes.

Wally, this is a very incomplete analysis.
First there are 8 possible outcomes.(not counting ties)
Second, you are more likely to win the 2 -120 and lose the -110 than the other way around.