Mudcat
yap
- Since
- Jan 27, 2010
- Messages
- 32,603
- Score
- 436
- Tokens
- 0
There are different ways to calculate the odds of a perfect bracket. Simplest way is to just consider each game a coinflip. So the odds are 2 to the exponent of the number of games (63). But a more realistic method takes into account that many games have a clear odds-on favorite and, in order to get that perfect bracket, you are bound to have more of those than dogs. Like you are going to have all the 1 seeds in the first round. That ain't no coinflip. Now we all know upsets happen in other spots so what you need is some kind of figure that represents the average odds of a tournament winner.
There is no definitive answer but the figure I have seen that I trust most as the odds of a perfect bracket:
eleventy jillion to one.
There is no definitive answer but the figure I have seen that I trust most as the odds of a perfect bracket:
eleventy jillion to one.