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Need more sports betting talk

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havent paid any attention to your football stuff, sorry..hope you are doing well...football will all even out, it always does...i was talking about your soccer plays...thats how you got labeled as the guy that bets where the price dont matter and you know this..not sure why you are giving me shit for stating the obvious...the heavy soccer chalk is fact and thats why i said it...hey, you win more than you lose, never said you didnt...:goodforyou:
 
The only guy who has me labeled as soccer chalk play is you and only you. MF challenge me to pick 10 winners in soccer out of 12 games with no less -1000 fav. I went 10-1-1 with plays ranging from -350 to -150 even though I could have picked only -1000. I don't bet chalk plays in soccer. It was what he challenged me for. If he challenged me to pick dogs of +300 or more I could have done that challenge too. Now dig on your fake archives and find my soccer chalk plays instead of labeling me something you only see. I picked the final two teams of the World Cup Final in 2010 before the tourney started. That is out of 32 teams. Do you have any idea what are the odds of predicting this correctly?
 
betplom
How do you determine you actually have an "advantage"?

Advantage = opinion in most (if not all) cases.

Seems like people have to convince themselves they have an advantage when they are really talking about theory.
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Well if you get a good number you can profit regardless of the outcome on the event by scalping it. It's not an opinion it's just math. Although I've found it disadvantageous to do so in almost all cases.
 
Saulty
The only guy who has me labeled as soccer chalk play is you and only you. MF challenge me to pick 10 winners in soccer out of 12 games with no less -1000 fav. I went 10-1-1 with plays ranging from -350 to -150 even though I could have picked only -1000. I don't bet chalk plays in soccer. It was what he challenged me for. If he challenged me to pick dogs of +300 or more I could have done that challenge too. Now dig on your fake archives and find my soccer chalk plays instead of labeling me something you only see. I picked the final two teams of the World Cup Final in 2010 before the tourney started. That is out of 32 teams. Do you have any idea what are the odds of predicting this correctly?
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yes, i got nothing else better to do today than debate with a guy who thinks the price dont matter :wacko: good luck today
 
Goat Milk
MCB you're not going to make shit betting stale lines at $50 a game. You will see profits maybe over 5 years. maybe.

I'm not in this for the everyday grind.

I know about all major sports except MLB. But the only one I know I have an edge over the books is NBA. And I win every year in the playoffs. And I pick champions pre-season. In my prime 5 years ago when I had nothing to do but study in college and work 15 hours a week, I watched film all night in the playoffs. I would break down any game better than any analyst on espn. The last couple years I've even been lazy about it but have still cashed out. That's for NBA. 5 guys on the court. It's easier to anticipate schemes, mentalities, and matchups than it would be for a mlb game or nfl game where models are useful.

I will beat any model here in the NBA playoffs.

Few of you guys on here may be pros. I look forward to any challenge. Let's see what wins. Math vs. Analysis. It will be interesting.
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:hahaha:
that right there is why books have a bullet proof business model:greencheck:
for every Rito, MF, and the Veges there are 1000s of Goatmilks

can we get a math v/s analysis challenge started?
my $$$ is on the math.... you game Goat?
 
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