Matty Rain's 2024 MLB Betting Thread

[Tron]

@Matty remember I mentioned the Marlins tend to do well against premier pitchers? They beat Zach Wheeler today.

 

[Tron]

Sunday May 12


FIRST FIVE

MIA +182

 

[Matty]

@Tron Yah I remembered you said that when I realized they were a play today.

I'm happy with the plays the model has been spitting out, they seem to make sense. Results just aren't there yet. I'm beating (most of) the vig at least.

We keep on truckin'

 

[Matty]

damn I'm late to the party and only the Metropolitan are left

It's make or break. Go Metropolitans.

 

[mcbaseball10]

Who we like in NHL late game?

 

[Matty]

Who we like in NHL late game?

Slight lean on Vancouver if you can get +170 or better, but no play for me. And I really want to bet the game 😁 But yeah no.

 

[mcbaseball10]

Took Panthers @+170 when they were down 2-1. Nice rally. Go NHL. Go Couvs

 

[Matty]

First period hat trick by Boeser, nice

 

[roguejuror]

It's make or break. Go Metropolitans.

I tuned out in top of the 9th

 

[Matty]

I tuned out in top of the 9th

I yelled.

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 133-132 +1.63u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 43-35-12 -4.75u

Kelly bankroll after day 6 - $176.11
New Kelly bet amount - $5.28

Sunday May 12

FULL GAMES
ARI +110
TOR +120
NYM +108

FIRST FIVE
TOR +110 🟡
MIA +182
STL +125
CIN +108
OAK +190
SDP -106

FULL GAMES
2-1 +1.18u
YTD 135-133 +2.81u

FIRST FIVE
2-3-1 -0.18u
YTD 45-38-13 -4.93u

Kelly bankroll after day 7 - $181.39
New Kelly bet amount - $5.44

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 135-133 +2.81u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 45-38-13 -4.93u

Kelly bankroll after day 7 - $181.39
New Kelly bet amount - $5.44

Monday May 13

FULL GAMES
OAK +155
STL -104
KCR +130
CHC +126

FIRST FIVE
WSH -128
MIL -138
STL -104
ARI -145

Waiting on Shohei's status before tackling LAD-SFG

 

[Matty]

Fun fact - with Shohei (7 WAR) in the lineup, I have the Dodgers as a -200 road fave. With him out, they go down to -166. It's very rare case where one player's status will swing the play completely, from one side to the other. The fact that he doesn't even play defense makes this even crazier.

 

[Matty]

There's really not a lot of insider baseball talk on Twitter, is there? In hockey you can find tons of pundits talking to each other, giving updates and rumors and shit.

It's almost noon Eastern and there's nothing on Shohei.

 

[Matty]

I found this:

 

[Matty]

Fuck it. Adding:

FULL GAMES
LAD -184

FIRST FIVE
LAD -180

 

[CASPERWAIT$]

There's really not a lot of insider baseball talk on Twitter, is there? In hockey you can find tons of pundits talking to each other, giving updates and rumors and shit.

It's almost noon Eastern and there's nothing on Shohei.

Twitter is more hockey and basketball IMO. Different demographic

 

[Matty]

FULL GAMES
YTD 135-133 +2.81u

FIRST FIVE
YTD 45-38-13 -4.93u

Kelly bankroll after day 7 - $181.39
New Kelly bet amount - $5.44

Monday May 13

FULL GAMES
OAK +155
STL -104
KCR +130
CHC +126
LAD -184
FIRST FIVE
WSH -128
MIL -138
STL -104
ARI -145
LAD-180