Matty Rain's 2024-25 NHL Thread

[Matty]

 

[Boner_18]

Tailing all 3

+1

 

[Cougar Bait]

Match on Hawks

So possibly we lose in OT 😂

 

[Matty]

The number of games that go to OT is insane. 5 last night.

GL Cougs

 

[roguejuror]

run the numbers for the regulation time draw

 

[Tron]

Tailing all 3

BURIED




I didn’t follow any of the action. Were these standard losses or were there foxes involved?

 

[Matty]

I only watched Bruins-Hawks, went to bed when the other two started.

I bet a lot of shit teams that tend to fox themselves. Tailer beware.

Sorry boys.

0-3 -3.18u

YTD 112-127 +3.08u

 

[roguejuror]

0fers will happen™

 

[Matty]

YTD 112-127 +3.08u

Thursday December 5

Buffalo Sabres +125
Florida Panthers -161
Carolina Hurricanes -154

 

[stevek]

If it's a panther, don't anther!

 

[roguejuror]

a bing bong would be more than nice tonight

 

[Matty]

If it's a panther, don't anther!

They were up 3-0 FFS

3 apples for Michkov so far

 

[Matty]

Phuck you Phlyers

 

[Matty]

We're a Sabres OT win away from a bing bong

 

[Matty]

YTD 112-127 +3.08u

Thursday December 5

Buffalo Sabres +125
Florida Panthers -161
Carolina Hurricanes -154

Phuck you Sabres

2-1 +1u
YTD 114-128 +4.08u

 

[Matty]

YTD 114-128 +4.08u

Friday December 6

Washington Capitals +126
Pittsburgh Penguins +165
Vancouver Canucks -1.5 +112
Dallas Stars -118

Friendly reminder that these plays are based on GAR (goals above replacement) data that I pull from Evolving Hockey. I don't apply any sort of critical thinking beyond that, i.e. I don't eliminate plays that look bad to me (most do!) I blindly trust the numbers and bet all the games that fit a fixed set of criteria. My ultimate goal is to develop a set-and-forget betting strategy that can be done in a few minutes in the morning. As such, margins are expected to be thin. I don't try to predict the outcome of any one game, and the "model" I use tends to keep riding shit teams that are on losing streaks.

tl;dr you probably shouldn't tail this shit

 

[roguejuror]

more coming later

 

[Matty]

Mebbe