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Matty Rain's 2024-25 NHL Thread

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Vegas Dave
Spent about 2-3 hours training ChatGPT to crunch Daily Fantasy Sports numbers for me. Basically took each NBA player's projected stats per their player prop Over/Unders, had ChatGPT use those stats and implied odds on over unders to project likelihood of hitting those marks, etc.

After calculating projected points, added in player salaries to solve for expected points per dollar to find best value lineup. Used these rankings to craft the most optimal lineup for the $. No stars, all value guys basically. Some I never heard of. Entered it in the $5 $333KGTD.

Finished 73,156th out of 79,270. Bunch of fucking bums. Fuck you ChatGPT.
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Yeah it's super wonky most of the time.

My issue is that using the Elo ratings from https://hockeyeloratings.com would mean I'd be betting almost all dogs all the time. I don't think their win % are any better than GPT throwing darts at the board. This is what they have for today:

hockey elo ratings
 
Matty
Yeah it's super wonky most of the time.

My issue is that using the Elo ratings from https://hockeyeloratings.com would mean I'd be betting almost all dogs all the time. I don't think their win % are any better than GPT throwing darts at the board. This is what they have for today:

hockey elo ratings
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Yeah I'm very intrigued by all of these things.

I just found out through my job I could get access to some pretty cool DFS tools and optimizers. On the one hand, game theory optimal backed by sims, protections etc. is super valuable.

On the other hand, tons of people with unlimited bankrolls have access to these tools. So you've gotta maybe go a bit against the grain too? 🤔

The key is putting our personal touches on it, for sure. Utilizing the tools instead of relying blindly on them.
 
mcbaseball10
Playoff hockey is soooo much better than early season hockey. Got a lot of scoring but man was it a different environment. Rough 2nd period for the Panthers.
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I had the OVER 6 in that game last night. It opened at 6.5 and looking at the Panthers recent play, it was a total contrarian bet.

I look at the score and 3 goals were scored in the first 13 minutes lol.

Sadly, I had it in a 5 teamer and lost the other 4 lmao
 
Matty
Saturday November 23

Chicago Blackhawks +135 :redx:
Minnesota Wild -139 :redx:
Montreal Canadiens +140 :redx:
Dallas Stars -115 :greencheck:
Utah Hockey Club -110 :greencheck:
Washington Capitals +115 :redx:
Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 +105 :redx:
Buffalo Sabres -165 :greencheck:

GL all:pucky:
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Bunch more OT and one-goal losses. Ugh.

3-5 -2.39u
YTD 93-104 +5.93u

Nothing tonight. Slight lean on Utah.
 
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