Math question

[Tron]

Good thread. I don't absorb at the rate that I'd like to but I learn things in these threads. Slowly.

 

[rito]

I bet a lot of stuff that has tiny limits muddy. I'd sometimes like to bet up to 100x what I can get down.

 

[Tron]

MF'r (and durito when you were playing more bases), what was your best season of MLB (in terms of units) and your worst.

I realize that you may not have the info readily available but a ballpark figure would suffice if you can come up with one.

 

[rito]

I've never played a lot of MLB. Even when SIA and sportsbetting had 10c lines a couple summers ago I don't think I made more than 3%.

Last year 2.5%, less volume for the year though than I bet on football in a couple of weeks.

Actually I think I lost MLB in 2009 even with sbetting not knowing of don best or pinnacle.

 

[Saulty]

I have different unit sizes for football than baseball or hockey. So hitting higher % in football with a larger unit size makes up for hitting lower % in baseball and hockey.

 

[MonkeyF0cker]

Units? Hmm. I'd say somewhere in the 240-260 range. I use Kelly and I don't really track my plays that way (other than when I post them on the forums) so it's hard to say.

 

[wal66]

This coming football season I am gonna start doing this for real and fulltime. I am setting aside money now for a bankroll but I will still be a small player, $50 per game on large cards and $100 per game on small ones.

My sample size will be small compared to what most consider to be relevant but it will at least have had a proven track record to that point. Well hockey and college basketball will at least. Football was slow going last year but after I tweaked a couple of things it was profitable down the stretch and made up enough to make it slightly profitable for the season overall. Who knows where baseball will end up though?

If I had my rathers, I would be able to partner up with 2 other quality guys and compare games to be bet on and when all 3 match on something hit that a little harder. Problem I have found working with others is they don’t like to reveal what they feel are their best stuff and I am an open book.

 

[Archie]

WE need at least a THREAD dedicated to think tank type stuff.....

maybe we could get a group of smarty mathmatician types to committ to writing 1 thread a month to help beginners and guys like me to better utilize math.....

we don't need ganch type stuff mind you.

but help the (spot) point and click bettors like me out with some basics

 

[wal66]

Arch, we can't even get guys who made promises to write about the math behind a particular challenge, or a simple easy-to-understand article on the math of expected values or another poster who was gonna write a different article when they got back from vacation 6 MONTHS AGO!

The discussions flow in threads like this and it's much appreciated though.

 

[Archie]

OK

yeah I hear ya, Wal.

I would like to see more of this

I know M.F has posted some complicated stuff. but I think it was related to slots and casino games. which I play zero

I just sports betting

 

[Oksana]

Wow @ this thread. I inadvertently hit the GL lotto in here!

 

[senco78]

WE need at least a THREAD dedicated to think tank type stuff.....

maybe we could get a group of smarty mathmatician types to committ to writing 1 thread a month to help beginners and guys like me to better utilize math.....

we don't need ganch type stuff mind you.
but help the (spot) point and click bettors like me out with some basics

a TT for simpletons would be great... I tried reading Ganch's stuff but its like reading Chinese

 

[Matty]

I'm pretty sure that Chinese has a smoother learning curve than mathspeak.