stevek
Cool story bruh
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- Oct 30, 2019
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Oh wow he's in all caps mode
roguejuror
matty's hype man
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this year
Vegas Dave
Not a Real GameLiver
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Seems so long ago when Matty left us high and dry in the heart of the playoff race 😭
Vegas Dave
Not a Real GameLiver
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You bet the Bumass Jays a lot too though, even when Steve tried to warn you 💀
Vegas Dave
Not a Real GameLiver
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But I digress, new sport, new season, nothing but love and support. Took a week of wrath from @Tron for being a jinx, don't need hate from up North too.
Matty
0-fers Will Happen™
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Jays and ChiSox wrecked my rags-to-riches plan. I have some ideas for next season though.
Vegas Dave
Not a Real GameLiver
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Matty
0-fers Will Happen™
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Philadelphia Flyers +125
Archie
SP Nation and I Ruin things
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alright now!
Matty
0-fers Will Happen™
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So the basic idea is to use an ELO-like system (used in chess) to rank teams and assess their theoretical winrate against each other, vs. adding up each individual player's projected WAR and then computing winrates based on those sums, which is what I did last season.Matty's New Idea:
"Computing... computing... bet the Jays, EV +3.4%"
Still not sure that that would prevent me from systematically betting on putrid teams like the 2024 ChiSox. There's only so much a model can do when presented with an extreme outlier.
Cougar Bait
Unburdened by what has been
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Shit, I like Washington. The hockey team, not the city.
Matty
0-fers Will Happen™
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Flyers you dirty fokking bums
Calling it
YTD 28-30 +7.6u
Calling it
YTD 28-30 +7.6u
Matty
0-fers Will Happen™
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(Note that I called it before I saw the Flyers' first goal.)
Archie
SP Nation and I Ruin things
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Flyers you dirty fokking bums
Calling it
YTD 28-30 +7.6u
seriously ?
some of our best posters here were dirty philly bums
Matty
0-fers Will Happen™
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I'm a gheysexual. It was 4-0 not that long ago.
Matty
0-fers Will Happen™
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Matty
0-fers Will Happen™
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Go Flyers you beautiful bums! 
Archie
SP Nation and I Ruin things
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unhoused soap deficient losers!