The Polaroid Random Thoughts Baseball Thread

[Dingo]

Happy Birthday Casper,hope you have a great day.

 

[MrMonkey]

Happy Birthday Casper,hope you have a great day.

Yes, Happy #50 and wish you all the best today!

 

[FairWarning]

Bregman to Boston 3/$120 mil. Boston can use him, knew Chicago wasn’t committing 3 years. Two teams that should have was Detroit and Toronto.

 

[Boner_18]

Wow. That's a lot to pay for 4.5 WAR and it pushes the Bo Sox into luxury tax territory, albiet the lowest tier. Leaves basically Aranado for infield bat.

Gonna be an interesting division.

 

[Boner_18]

Do we know if you can blindly bet regular season win totals where they're off vs. Fangraphs by 2-3 games and profit? I guess they're probably juiced to the hilt but seems like FG is pretty darn good 60% of the time.

 

[Boner_18]

How Should You Interpret Our Projected Win Totals?

Our projected win totals are more useful as a sledgehammer than as a scalpel.

blogs.fangraphs.com

Looks like they actually do pretty well.

 

[MrMonkey]

How Should You Interpret Our Projected Win Totals?

Our projected win totals are more useful as a sledgehammer than as a scalpel.

blogs.fangraphs.com

Looks like they actually do pretty well.

So Boner, do you know if these projections change right before season starts? Just looking at quickly appears projections are closer to the mean for 2025. If so is reason being harder to predict who will be the Chi WS this season or which 3 teams that got 100 wins in 2023? No idea how FG gets there.

Depth Charts - Projected Standings | FanGraphs Baseball

2025 projected standings for major league baseball teams

www.fangraphs.com

 

[FairWarning]

So Boner, do you know if these projections change right before season starts? Just looking at quickly appears projections are closer to the mean for 2025. If so is reason being harder to predict who will be the Chi WS this season or which 3 teams that got 100 wins in 2023? No idea how FG gets there.

Depth Charts - Projected Standings | FanGraphs Baseball

2025 projected standings for major league baseball teams

www.fangraphs.com

Personally I think it’s easier to find the teams that will sell off and play their under.

 

[MrMonkey]

ThanksFW answering the question.. Maybe he was busy changing a diaper?

 

[Boner_18]

I see now. Yeah I ain't got time for that shit.

 

[MrMonkey]

So a simple question that he initiated a response from is bullshit!?

 

[Archie]

bubba Chandler mania is going to be fun to watch as it grows

 

[FairWarning]

 

[Tron]

38 days until the real Opening Day, boys

 

[FairWarning]

38 days until the real Opening Day, boys

Yes, the Baseball Prospectus arrived today.

Sad news as Bobby Jenks has stage 4 stomach cancer. Can’t believe he’s only 43.

 

[Boner_18]

Im pumped. Yankees gonna have a tough go of it I think. Deserving favorites in the AL east but not a lock for sure. Hoping to go to a bunch of games this year.

 

[betplom]

We need this made into a GIF, would be great for bad calls.

 

[MrMonkey]

Bregman to Boston 3/$120 mil. Boston can use him, knew Chicago wasn’t committing 3 years. Two teams that should have was Detroit and Toronto.

And sounds like Devers isn't too happy with it though I doubt Bregman will be play 3B? Though Devers sounded off he doesn't want to DH at all? He will probably come around though not what management/manager would like to hear.