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Red Sox Appear to be the Play Tonight!

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MrMonkey

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That's right, going against my beloved Phillies with this one! Yes Lackey has been horrific over the course of the season but still believe everything else points in Boston's direction? I believe it's a statement game of sorts for Boston!

Here's is my 3 keys to Boston winning this game

1) Here's the Philly BP members you will need to close out the game! A few key guys missing eh?
A. Bastardo
M. Stutes
D. Baez
K. Kendrick
D. Herndon
J. Perez
S. Mathieson
A. Carpenter

2) Yes, Vance Worley's brief MLB ERA looks impressive but in his 6 starts this year he hasn't gone more tha 6 innings! (Look above) And the teams were Mets (2), Wash., Cinncy, Oakland, and Seattle. Only 1 team that can hit though the Mets have been hot of late!

Worley isn't overpowering and prone to walk people and Sox if not hitting of late still have gotten their BBs in that time! They are smart, patient hitters and sad to say Phillies for the most part are not!

3) Boston just the more consistant lineup in everyway even without Crawford! Season stats show the Sox with 409 runs scored with .275 AVG, .350 OBP and .444 SLG while Phils are at 325, .245, .319 and .374 in contrast!

So OK let's just look at the last 5 where the Boston bats seem to have gone south? The Phils have scored 12 runs compared to the Sox only getting 10. Boston hitting .231 with a OBP of .344 but just .321 SLG. But Philly is only hitting .199 with .304 OBP and .295 SLG!

OBP of the 1st 5 expected batters in tonight's lineups! Boston's .361 .389 .391 .412 .394 while Phils .331 .341 .374 .354 .357! I don't even have to give out the SLG numbers. One guy is over .600 SLG and you might call him Adrian but he's no girl!

Also going over the last 10 games the Sox have hit .288 against RHP while the Phils have hit .225 which is consistant with both team's yearly stats.

Of course the X factor (and it might be big) to kill this play is that Lackey will continue to be bad but hopefully Boston will be able to outscore the Phils? Maybe reaching but just counting on Lackey finally coming through enough to get Boston a win! His velocity looks fine just but maybe location since he does have a higher FB rate which of course leads to a higher HR rate than in the past! Small aspect too is Ortiz will be at 1B and Gonzalez in RF so hopefully no fielding blunders?

Red Sox ML

**Disclaimer** I have does these writeups with CBB games in the past and have lost more than I have won! Always feels so good when typing them out though! Goog luck!
 
too many exclamation points!

as I said in the other thread, I got Philly. Boston's defense won't be rock solid and with Lackey going...

I get Phillies at home at virtually a pick'em? Phillies 31-13 this season at home
 
Thanks guys but in review I went 0-3 in the keys to the Sox winning!

1) The inexperienced Phils BP got Boston to go 6 up and 6 down in the last 2 innings!
2) Vance Worley not only pitched as good as he has been but went the deepest in a game in his career so far!
3) Neither team hit the ball but when John Lackey knocks in your only run of the night then the edge goes to the Phils!

Lackey did pitch his best ball so far of the year! Listening to the Phils radio analyst he said he was surprised with Worley's control problems that Boston was swinging at so many pitches early in the count! Sox hitters sure weren't smart last nigh!