Saulty
EV ZEIN
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Do you actually need a system to go 19-23?
MrMonkey
USA! USA!! USA!!!
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Forgot to post these!
Lions/Bills OVER 45
Hopefully some of you jumped on this pick before the line shot up, however I still think there's significant value here as I think there will be 50+ points in this one. Detroit has been finding ways to put up points all year against some very good defenses, and this week are matched up against the hapless Bills who rank 24th in yards per pass attempt and 30th in yards per rush attempt. The Lions' offense should have no problem exploiting weaknesses the the Bills' defense, and should have themselves another 24+ point game. As for Buffalo, ever since Fitzpatrick came in as the starter for this team the offense has actually moved the ball pretty well. WR Steve Johnson has emerged as the reliable target that the Bills need, and their rushing game ranks 9th in the NFL carrying for 4.3 yards per carry. This bodes poorly for Detroit as they have one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL, allowing 4.7 yards per carry on the season. Each defense has weaknesses that the other team's offense can exploit, I see a high scoring battle as the Bills do all they can to avoid 0-16 as this may be one of their last winnable games.
Philadelphia Eagles -3
The Redskins have had a week off to prepare for this game, but it won't do them much good against an Eagles team that is clearly superior in almost every facet of the game. The biggest mismatch working in the Eagles' favor is the rushing game, they rank 2nd in the NFL and match up against the weak Redskin defense, the 4th worst rush defense in the NFL giving up 4.77 yards per carry. McCoy will have no problem finding holes to run through, while Vick will certainly have opportunities to scramble as well. The Washington pass defense is very average, ranking 16th in the NFL in yards per pass attempt allowed, also not a very tough matchup for the 13th ranked Philadelphia pass offense. I think the Eagles' offense can put up 27+ points in this game, which will be more than enough to top the dismal Washington offense. The Redskins are ranked 23rd in yards per pass attempt, a tough matchup for them against the #5 Eagles pass defense, which is allowing 5.5 yards per pass attempt. McNabb is going to struggle and commit at least one turnover, Eagles will take this game by at least a touchdown as they have too much firepower for Washington to handle.
Tennessee Titans (PK)
Miami made a panic move this week moving Pennington in as their new starting QB, a move that ultimately won't make a difference. The Titans are coming off of their bye week, traditionally Jeff Fischer coached teams have performed well in this spot going 6-3 SU. The new addition of WR Randy Moss will help give the Titans a bit of an explosive passing game, which will definitely be a factor against this 20th ranked Miami pass defense. Tennessee's pass defense has been great all year, ranking 7th in yards per pass attempt allowed, and Miami is going struggle with Pennington in at QB as he's likely to throw a couple bad passes and turn the ball over a couple times. Collins will be starting for the Titans in this game, he certainly has the ability to lead this team to victory, especially as I feel he's less likely to give the game away with turnovers than Young is. Titans should take this game in a solid road victory.
That's it for this week, despite a lot of system picks I'm not a huge fan of a lot of them so I'll go conservative this week. Good luck this week everyone!
System picks recap:
System 1:
Houston Texans +1.5
Kansas City Chiefs -1
New England Patriots +5
Philadelphia Eagles -3
St. Louis Rams +6
Tennessee Titans -1.5
Detroit Lions +3
Vikings/Bears UNDER 40.5
Cowboys/Giants OVER 45.5
Lions/Bills OVER 43.5
System 2:
Philadelphia Eagles -3
St. Louis Rams +6
Seahawks/Cardinals UNDER 41
Rams/49ers UNDER 38.5
Lions/Bills OVER 45
Hopefully some of you jumped on this pick before the line shot up, however I still think there's significant value here as I think there will be 50+ points in this one. Detroit has been finding ways to put up points all year against some very good defenses, and this week are matched up against the hapless Bills who rank 24th in yards per pass attempt and 30th in yards per rush attempt. The Lions' offense should have no problem exploiting weaknesses the the Bills' defense, and should have themselves another 24+ point game. As for Buffalo, ever since Fitzpatrick came in as the starter for this team the offense has actually moved the ball pretty well. WR Steve Johnson has emerged as the reliable target that the Bills need, and their rushing game ranks 9th in the NFL carrying for 4.3 yards per carry. This bodes poorly for Detroit as they have one of the worst rush defenses in the NFL, allowing 4.7 yards per carry on the season. Each defense has weaknesses that the other team's offense can exploit, I see a high scoring battle as the Bills do all they can to avoid 0-16 as this may be one of their last winnable games.
Philadelphia Eagles -3
The Redskins have had a week off to prepare for this game, but it won't do them much good against an Eagles team that is clearly superior in almost every facet of the game. The biggest mismatch working in the Eagles' favor is the rushing game, they rank 2nd in the NFL and match up against the weak Redskin defense, the 4th worst rush defense in the NFL giving up 4.77 yards per carry. McCoy will have no problem finding holes to run through, while Vick will certainly have opportunities to scramble as well. The Washington pass defense is very average, ranking 16th in the NFL in yards per pass attempt allowed, also not a very tough matchup for the 13th ranked Philadelphia pass offense. I think the Eagles' offense can put up 27+ points in this game, which will be more than enough to top the dismal Washington offense. The Redskins are ranked 23rd in yards per pass attempt, a tough matchup for them against the #5 Eagles pass defense, which is allowing 5.5 yards per pass attempt. McNabb is going to struggle and commit at least one turnover, Eagles will take this game by at least a touchdown as they have too much firepower for Washington to handle.
Tennessee Titans (PK)
Miami made a panic move this week moving Pennington in as their new starting QB, a move that ultimately won't make a difference. The Titans are coming off of their bye week, traditionally Jeff Fischer coached teams have performed well in this spot going 6-3 SU. The new addition of WR Randy Moss will help give the Titans a bit of an explosive passing game, which will definitely be a factor against this 20th ranked Miami pass defense. Tennessee's pass defense has been great all year, ranking 7th in yards per pass attempt allowed, and Miami is going struggle with Pennington in at QB as he's likely to throw a couple bad passes and turn the ball over a couple times. Collins will be starting for the Titans in this game, he certainly has the ability to lead this team to victory, especially as I feel he's less likely to give the game away with turnovers than Young is. Titans should take this game in a solid road victory.
That's it for this week, despite a lot of system picks I'm not a huge fan of a lot of them so I'll go conservative this week. Good luck this week everyone!
System picks recap:
System 1:
Houston Texans +1.5
Kansas City Chiefs -1
New England Patriots +5
Philadelphia Eagles -3
St. Louis Rams +6
Tennessee Titans -1.5
Detroit Lions +3
Vikings/Bears UNDER 40.5
Cowboys/Giants OVER 45.5
Lions/Bills OVER 43.5
System 2:
Philadelphia Eagles -3
St. Louis Rams +6
Seahawks/Cardinals UNDER 41
Rams/49ers UNDER 38.5
MrMonkey
USA! USA!! USA!!!
- Since
- Jan 28, 2010
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6-6 record for last week. 25-29 for the year. Here's this week's system selections.
System 1: (10-4 ATS)
Detroit Lions +6
Oakland Raiders +7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3
Tennessee Titans -7
Bears/Dolphins UNDER 40
Seahawks/Saints UNDER 44
System 2: (4-4 ATS)
Denver Broncos +10
Green Bay Packers -3
New England Patriots -3
Seattle Seahawks +11.5
Tennessee Titans -7
System 1: (10-4 ATS)
Detroit Lions +6
Oakland Raiders +7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3
Tennessee Titans -7
Bears/Dolphins UNDER 40
Seahawks/Saints UNDER 44
System 2: (4-4 ATS)
Denver Broncos +10
Green Bay Packers -3
New England Patriots -3
Seattle Seahawks +11.5
Tennessee Titans -7