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Mrs. X

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Mrs. X, the Reds seem like an obvious choice again today with Cueto vs. a Cubs team that managed only 2 hits yesterday and gave up 9 runs on 6 walks in the 7th inning.
The only data that would keep the line at -120 range is the way Wells has thrown against the Reds in the past. Mrs. X, please help me from making the mistake of laying the -118 on a road team that just completed a 12-0 drubbing. Why would Cueto open as a dog? These numbers don't seem to make sense to me Mrs. X.

Mr. X, if Mrs. X would like to defer these questions to you, it would be acceptable.