Matty Rain's NHL Betting Thread

[Matty]

Canucks are a borderline play tonight. I need +140 to play it though, and I don't have it yet.

 

[Matty]

Boeser out for the season, blood clot in his leg. Scary stuff..

 

[Matty]

I really want to bet the Nucks. Someone talk me out of it. Model has them as a +131 dog, I can bet +136 right now.

 

[Vegas Dave]

I really want to bet the Nucks. Someone talk me out of it. Model has them as a +131 dog, I can bet +136 right now.

That's why we stopped betting hunches back around the year 2008 AD.

New Matty only bets the system !!

 

[Matty]

It's technically a play! I just don't trust that my NHL model is precise within +/- 5 cents.

But yes, degenerate me just wants to have action on the game. I also have a small futures bet on the Oilers to win the cup so betting the Nucks would be a hedge.

You can't judge me. Well yes, you can.

 

[Matty]

Gimme a couple cents. +138 is all I'm asking for.

 

[Matty]

Late money coming in on Canucks, I'm surprised. Down to +130 at most shops. I shoulda bet the +136, damn you @Vegas Dave

 

[Matty]

Canucks gonna need a minor miracle.

Glad I smartly decided no to bet this.

 

[roguejuror]

I still blame Vegas Dave

 

[Matty]

FYI I preemptively bet Rangers -110 for Game 1 of round 3 without even looking at my data. I just know it's a play. Game is Wednesday.

I was wrong. Doh. Play is Panthers -110. Will try to cash out the Rangers bet before gametime and compute the loss (if any) into my record.

Wednesday May 22
FLA -110

 

[MrMonkey]

I'm giving a slight nod to Rangers in series, ad to #31 thinking will be slightly better than Bob. Sorry @stevek!

 

[Matty]

I ended up putting 2 units down on FLA -110 to compensate the early bet on NYR -110.

If Panthers win I win 0.9 unit, if they lose I lose 1.2 unit. It's the price to pay for being a dum dum.

 

[Tron]

Common Florida ice sport team ONE TIME

 

[roguejuror]

I ended up putting 2 units down on FLA -110 to compensate the early bet on NYR -110.

If Panthers win I win 0.9 unit, if they lose I lose 1.2 unit. It's the price to pay for being a dum dum.

when mistakes like this happens you almost always let it ride, compensating with the other side almost certainly have lost the edge already ,exception is when you can get a free cash out

 

[Matty]

Yah. Model likes the Panthers a lot though, up to -145.

I'm basically paying -133 tonight. Horrible price but heh. Go Cats.

 

[roguejuror]

We are a hockey town

 

[roguejuror]

2222222

 

[roguejuror]

they took away our goal because they are racist