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How do sharps fill out their bracket?

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Herman
Probably 20-30 entries, no upset points. Scoring system is a standard x, 2x, 4x, 8x, 16x, 32x
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ok small. yeah If its one of those huge pools, you know there will be many identical brackets from squares.

which brings up another question. Are these knowledgeable basketball fans? or the casual-non fan types that will have all #1's in their final 4? all 1-2-3's in the sweet 16 ect?

working backwards, obviously anyone that has the champion picked is gonna be in contention for winning the pool.

I wouldn't worry too much about upsets in the first round, unless you really really think there is a good chance for it.

its worth risking the upsets in the first round on a team you see losing in the 2nd round anyways.... especially if its a 11 vs 6 game where the spread is only 3-5 points

same goes for the projected 2nd round matchups. after that I wouldn't any chances.

I think even the public thinks that 12's beat 5's more often than not now. I'm taking all 5's in some of my polls just on that principle. even though I don't like the 5 teams very much

I mean if it is a typical office pool, you just pick favs on the high seeds, and fade the public on the in between ones.


great examples of the picks i'm talking about...are:

taking mizzou at pk and 11 seed over cincy
Marquette at +1.5 and 11 seed over xavier
florida st at -1 and 10 seed over A&M
pretty much taking all 9 seeds over 8 seeds

because when in doubt, non hoops fans will take the college (not the team) they've heard of the most, or just take the better seed to win. which as vegas shows us, ISN'T always the fav
 
OK, I had been looking for this.....ok here is what you do gents.

You have to be logged in to ESPN's bracket game, but there is a thing called "National Bracket"

For example, the millions who have filled out a bracket, 55% picked Villanova and 45% picked George Mason. George Mason, according to the market, is favored so you pick them.

That's what I'm going to do.


Actually what you want to do is pick "Who picked whom"
 
No matter what you do, there is a high degree of luck in winning one of the pools. Simply picking the favorites would not get you very far in most pools in most years. Rebounding mismatches and guard play are pretty significant factors in the tournament though.
 
The more I look at the southeast region, the more destruction I see.

My current bracket has ODU, Utah St., Gonzaga an Florida in the sweet 16.

I have Florida currently advancing, but I'm not very enthused about it. I think any of the lower seeds have a great shot at making it to the final four in this region.
 
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