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GLPPOTD - Thursday April 29th **ATTN MCBASEBALL**

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MrX
Mathematically speaking, I have KC as a pretty strong play.

As far as the reasoning goes, I think you're relying on a lot of factors that regress heavily toward the mean (pitcher home/road splits, last 3 outings, best/worst offense in the league). Doing that will usually put you on the wrong side of a play, as I think it did here.
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Your input is appreciated. We'll see what happens here, but us numbnuts could use all the help we can get moving forward :cheers:
 
MrX
Mathematically speaking, I have KC as a pretty strong play.

As far as the reasoning goes, I think you're relying on a lot of factors that regress heavily toward the mean (pitcher home/road splits, last 3 outings, best/worst offense in the league). Doing that will usually put you on the wrong side of a play, as I think it did here.
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Even if the play wins tonight MrX, point well taken. As an amateur capper, always like to see what I might have missed in choosing a play. Hope to see you chime in more on here for us all :cheers:
 
We're fortunate to have Mr. X chiming in on these plays.

A lot of the reasoning given by mcbaseball for the TB play was stuff that Bodog makes readily available to it's customers (or at least they did back when I used to rely on such information).

Me definitely no pro but I don't rely on conventional wisdom nearly as much as I used to.

Kudos to mcbaseball for providing us with a lot of choices in a timely manner. Well done sir.
 
:cheers: to mcbaseball for a laugher winner. The GLPPOTD needed one of these


mcbaseball you going to meet up with us for a World Cup match in South Florida? I think me Bread and Roguey are going to meet for some cold beers and soccer
 
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