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GLPPOTD - Sunday March 14th **ATTN STEVE & RS**

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Play No. 1: David Ferrer -125

Alright, then here's my favorite men's tennis play of the day:

David Ferrer (-125 @ Sports Interaction) vs. James Blake

This is my favorite play of the entire day, this price just blows my mind, and the fact that it's going to be televised on Tennis Channel is icing on the cake. David Ferrer has really settled into an awesome groove since the Tour landed in the Americas. He's on a 7 match winning streak already, four of those against big servers like Blake, and his recent performances have been a model of consistency. Last week he won two David Cup matches in straight sets against Top 50 players. The week before he won the Acapulco tournament, and the week before that he lost in the Final of the Buenos Aires tourney (for good measure he made it to the semifinals of the Johannesburg tourney the week before the tour came to the Americas).

Now a lot of people don't like taking a guy who grew up playing tennis on clay over an American who is very comfortable on hard courts, but then I looked at the surface rankings, which are computer generated by wins/losses on each surface and not a poll. With all the winning that Ferrer has done lately, some of it on hard courts like at Acapulco, he's now the world's No. 17 hard courter, and James Blake hasn't even played enough hard court matches to stay ranked.

Blake's reticence to play a full tour calendar anymore just belies his age (he turned 31 in December, ancient for a tennis player). Add to that the fact that Blake just doesn't have the fire to come from behind at any point in a match anymore (he's lost five of the six matches he's played this calendar year priced as an underdog). Normally Blake would have the advantage at an American tournament, but the courts at Indian Wells this year are playing slower and with more bounce, which are the ideal conditions for a clay player to feel at home on a hard court.

This match is slated to start at 6PM PDT, and for me it ranks as a six unit play on a ten unit scale.

david-ferrer-shirtless.jpg
 
Minn has been playing tough and they are still very much a bubble team. If they win the game they are obviously in the tourney and if they lose they have to sweat it out. Ohio St. could very well be playing for a number 1 seed depending on what happens to Duke in the ACC championship but even with a Duke loss and an Ohio St. win WVU probably has the inside track on the number 1 seed. Ohio St. probably has their number 2 all locked up and much less to play for than Minn. I think that Ohio St. will play tough early but if they get down by any significant amount, you better believe they might pull back a bit and let Minny have the game.

San Jose is coming off an OT loss to the Panthers and the Anaheim has been absolutely dreadful lately. San Jose has beaten Anaheim 5 straight and 4 of those 5 have been by 2 goals or more. The Ducks have lost 5 straight and 6 of 7, most of those coming on their home ice, so even their friendly confines of the pond have been well...unfriendly.

Just some things that I found and have been thinking about in regard to these two plays.
 
Oh absolutely, I'd say there's value in him even down to -140, which is where I'd stop liking the play so much. Somebody just hung a couple hundred at -112 for Ferrer at Matchbook if you're funded there. I already grabbed as much as I wanted, and there's $158 left.
 
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