First NFL Draft prop bet of the year

[Potato]

Blaine Gabbert -120 over Cam Newton (Sportsbook.com)

If you got $200 to waste for a month and change, it's free $$$.

 

[Herman]

YES!!!!

Tomato taught Potato WELL!

 

[choo]

jazette takes all my money in 2011.

 

[Archie]

I'll never forget tomatoes nba draft from two years back

 

[Herman]

I'll never forget tomatoes nba draft from two years back

Tomato developed solid contacts in the industry while studying Sports Management at Indiana University

 

[roguejuror]

Is Potato giving Tomato's picks out early?

 

[MonkeyF0cker]

$200 limits? What's the point?

 

[Fu Manchu]

im liquidating all my assets for tomato's play this year

 

[vagabond]

$200 limits? What's the point?

IF we go by Potato's assertion of 'free money', very high probability makes it worthwhile.

 

[Enigma]

sorry don't bet with sportsbook.com

 

[Tron]

If you find a $100 bill on the ground and there's no one in sight, why bother picking it up and putting it in your pocket?

What's the point?

 

[Matty]

If you find a $100 bill on the ground and there's no one in sight, why bother picking it up and putting it in your pocket?

What's the point?

Daft 2.0 vs. MF 3.1

LESGO.

 

[Herman]

Saw today that a Carolina newspaper is reporting the Panthers are taking Cam Newton #1 overall

 

[Enigma]

I don't like this bet

 

[Archie]

Saw today that a Carolina newspaper is reporting the Panthers are taking Cam Newton #1 overall

Jimmy Clausen won't like that one bit

 

[Potato]

Don't mind the line movement, those who are moving it don't know what they're doing.

Potato's (and Tomato's) Top-5 NFL Draft gurus have it as followed...


GURU #1

Blaine Gabbert
Cam Newton
Jake Locker
Andy Dalton
Ryan Mallett

GURU #2

1. Cam Newton, Auburn
2. Blaine Gabbert, Missouri
3. Jake Locker, Washington
4. Christian Ponder, Fla St
5. Ryan Mallett, Arkansas

GURU #3

1 Blaine Gabbert Missouri
2 Cam Newton Auburn
3 Jake Locker Washington
4 Ricky Stanzi Iowa
5 Colin Kaepernick Nevada

GURU #4

*1. Blaine Gabbert, Missouri
2. Jake Locker, Washington
*3. Cam Newton, Auburn
*4. Ryan Mallett, Arkansas
5. Christian Ponder, Florida State

GURU #5

Yet to release his draft boards

 

[MonkeyF0cker]

If you find a $100 bill on the ground and there's no one in sight, why bother picking it up and putting it in your pocket?

What's the point?

Are you implying that a $200 wager against a widely available number has $100 in EV, Daft? Jeez.

 

[MonkeyF0cker]

Daft,

If you'd really like to know how ridiculous that statement actually is, that wager would need a probability of 81.82% (or a 50% edge) to be worth $100. If it has a somewhat realistic (yet extremely high) 10% edge or 60% win rate, it's worth a whopping $20 after keeping your money tied up for over a month.