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Matty Rain's 2024-25 NHL Thread

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Matty
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Matty
YTD 114-128 +4.08u

Friday December 6

Washington Capitals +126
Pittsburgh Penguins +165
Vancouver Canucks -1.5 +112
Dallas Stars -118
Minnesota Wild -1.5 +130

Friendly reminder that these plays are based on GAR (goals above replacement) data that I pull from Evolving Hockey. I don't apply any sort of critical thinking beyond that, i.e. I don't eliminate plays that look bad to me (most do!) I blindly trust the numbers and bet all the games that fit a fixed set of criteria. My ultimate goal is to develop a set-and-forget betting strategy that can be done in a few minutes in the morning. As such, margins are expected to be thin. I don't try to predict the outcome of any one game, and the "model" I use tends to keep riding shit teams that are on losing streaks.

tl;dr you probably shouldn't tail this shit
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Matty
YTD 117-130 +5.58u

Satruday December 7

Utah Utahs +112 :greencheck:
Chicago Blackhawks +165 :redx:
Carolina Hurricanes -175 :redx:
Ottawa Senators -128 :greencheck:
Pittsburgh Penguins +140 :greencheck:
Los Angeles Kings -139 :greencheck:
Edmonton Oilers -1.5 -102 :greencheck:
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Not a bad day at the office :handshake:

5-2 +2.77u
YTD 122-132 +8.35u

Sunday December 8

Seattle Kraken +160
Ottawa Senators -143
Columbus Blue Jackets +158
Utah Utahs +102
Dallas Stars -1.5 +115
 
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