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Matty Rain's 2024-25 NHL Thread

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YTD 114-128 +4.08u

Friday December 6

Washington Capitals +126
Pittsburgh Penguins +165
Vancouver Canucks -1.5 +112
Dallas Stars -118


Friendly reminder that these plays are based on GAR (goals above replacement) data that I pull from Evolving Hockey. I don't apply any sort of critical thinking beyond that, i.e. I don't eliminate plays that look bad to me (most do!) I blindly trust the numbers and bet all the games that fit a fixed set of criteria. My ultimate goal is to develop a set-and-forget betting strategy that can be done in a few minutes in the morning. As such, margins are expected to be thin. I don't try to predict the outcome of any one game, and the "model" I use tends to keep riding shit teams that are on losing streaks.

tl;dr you probably shouldn't tail this shit
 
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