Hooligans Sportsbook

weird live line boston/texas

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Assuming that the game was a coin flip (and so both Texas and Boston were priced at -100 with a no vig line) then after the first inning, Boston would have a 45% chance of winning which translates to a -122 moneyline - that kind of mirrors the line movement you saw.
 
Enigma
not sure what you mean
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Like this:

http://bit.ly/qPmsah

It predicts the win expectancy for the home team at after each play, starting off at making each team equal favorites, in the WE column. In this case, the Red Sox went from the equivalent of -100 to -122 by the middle of the first. The win expectancy changes after each play (that is after each out or hit or stolen base etc.) but it is not totally accurate since it assumes that all position players are equal in talent - obviously the 1-2-3 batters will have a better chance of getting a RISP home rather than the 7-8-9 batters but especially so early into the game like after half an inning, the changes in expectancy are more accurate than later in the game.
 
Enigma
I was referring to Polaroid's post

line was -151 texas pregame

then boston scored
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Yeah, you say that now.

PS: 188Bet offers in play Asian Handicap wagering. IE Boston is leading 6-0 and you can bet Texas +6 -200.

Weird.

Im still trying to figure out how to bet in play at SBObet and 188Bet, the Asians are a different breed.
 
Enigma
anyway the link posted seems to agree with me. it had texas's WE at 45% middle of first. meanwhile, pinnacle had them -131
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No, the WE link is under the assumption that both teams started as even favorites on a no vig line line and so the WE for Texas went from 50% (+100) at the start of the game to 45% (+122) by the middle of the 1st, so a 22c shift.
 
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