Hooligans Sportsbook

Wal's Bowl Thread

  • Start date •
  • Replies
    10 Replies •
  • Views 641 Views
Follow
wal66

wal66

New Member
Since
Feb 1, 2010
Messages
11,716
Score
2
Tokens
0
2010, 2011 Bowl Thread

It was a very disappointing season this year for me in college football. I didnt live up to my expectations nor previous results this season. It is possible to make enough in the bowls to more than make up for any losses during the season but I will never get back the win percentages.

I will have info and or plays for every bowl game. Most will probably be opinions but I will have a strong play here and there.

Good luck to everyone and may this Bowl Season be you most profitable ever.
 
New Mexico Bowl
2:00 PM 12/18/10
UTEP vs. BYU

Records:

UTEP 6-6 SU 5-7 ATS
BYU 6-6 SU 7-5 ATS

Average Points Scored:

UTEP 26.1 ppg
BYU 24 ppg

Average Points Allowed:

UTEP 25.4 ppg
BYU 21.4 ppg

Bowl Experience:

UTEP 6-6 overall, last appeared in 2005.
BYU 10-17-1 overall, appearing in 6th straight bowl.

Intangibles:

Nothing I researched led me to believe that either team has a substantial advantage in this contest. Both teams played and beat New Mexico as their only common opponent and both teams enter this game coming off a loss.

If you are looking for a statistical advantage here depending on your criteria you might have a difficult time finding it. If you are looking for a motivational edge then maybe it lies with UTEP but I think you would really be forcing the issue a little. At 6-6 on the season maybe it could be said that BYU underperformed but I really didn't pay attention enough to know what the expectations were for them, same can be said for UTEP.

When I am stuck and the number don't give me a clear advantage I generally rely on my program to show me the way. Unfortunately that isn't the case with this game since the Vegas line and my program line are basically the same.

Official Play:

No Play. Lean to UTEP and the points but won't be putting anything on this game unless something looks clear at halftime.
 
Last edited:
wal66
New Mexico Bowl
2:00 PM 12/18/10
UTEP vs. BYU

Records:
UTEP 6-6 SU 5-7 ATS
BYU 6-6 SU 7-5 ATS

Average Points Scored:
UTEP 26.1 ppg
BYU 24 ppg

Average Points Allowed:
UTEP 25.4 ppg
BYU 21.4 ppg

Bowl Experience:
UTEP 6-6 overall, last appeared in 2005.
BYU 10-17-1 overall, appearing in 6th straight bowl.

Intangibles:
Nothing I researched led me to believe that either team has a substantial advantage in this contest. Both teams played and beat New Mexico as their only common opponent and both teams enter this game coming off a loss.

If you are looking for a motivational edge again it seems difficult to really find. Northern Illinois enters this game having just lost the MAC Conference Title game against Miami-Ohio in a game they were expected to win. However while they were favored over Miami-Ohio it can be said that Northern Illinois wasn’t predicted to be in that game when the season began anyways so they over-achieved for the season.

BYU had an up and down season throughout the 2010 season with only one game that could really be considered a good win, that being the opening game against Washington. Right after that win though they dropped 4 straight. They managed to get hot down the stretch before losing their final game against Utah but none of the wins would be really worth noting.

When there is no clear cut edge I generally fall back on my program to be the lone factor in deciding my play. Unfortunately in this situation the line and my programmed line are basically the same.

Official Play:

No Play. Lean to Northern Illinois and the points but there just isn’t anything here that screams value.
Click to expand...


huh?
 
true wal...

byu has been a team that has gotten a lot better by year end and their freshman qb has made leaps and strides this year. they really took it to utah and really should have won that game. byu wins this game by 2 td's or more.
 
Humanitarian Bowl
5:30 PM 12/18/10
Northern Illinois vs. Fresno St

Records:

Northern Illinois 10-3 SU 93-1 ATS
Fresno St 8-4 SU 5-6-1 ATS

Average Points Scored:

Northern Illinois 37.8 ppg.
Fresno St 30 ppg.

Average Points Allowed:

Northern Illinois 19.1 ppg.
Fresno St 29.2 ppg.

Bowl Experience:

Northern Illinois 2-3, first appeared in 1983 and coming into this bowl going 0-2 in 2 previous bowl appearances.
Fresno St 10-9, playing their 4th consecutive bowl game but like Northern Illinois they have lost their last 2 bowl games.

Intangibles:


Northern Illinois comes into this game off a loss in the MAC Conference Title game. While the season for Northern Illinois may have exceeded many experts expectations losing the MAC to Miami-Ohio certainly is cause for concern.

Fresno St had an up and down year but they too probably had a season a little better than was expected. The Bulldogs wrapped up their season with back to back victories over Utah St and Cincinnati so one might tend to think they are at least a little more comfortable with how their season ended.

The teams involved have one common opponent in Illinois. Northern Illinois lost to the Illini on the road 22-28 and Fresno St beat them at home 25-23.

Vegas has Northern Illinois favored by 1.5 and my program has them slightly less than a 1point favorite so I have no edge for a play here.

Official Play:

No Play. I think Fresno St wins this game and I may change my mind and make a small play on them later but it will totally be a hunch bet.
 
New Orleans Bowl
9:00 PM 12/18/10
Ohio vs. Troy

Records:

Ohio 8-4 SU 8-4 ATS
Troy 7-5 SU 4-8 ATS

Average Points Scored:

Ohio 28 ppg.
Troy 32.9 ppg.

Average Points Allowed:

Ohio 21.8 ppg.
Troy 31 ppg.

Bowl Experience:

Ohio is 0-4 in bowl games having played their first bowl game in 1962.
Troy is 1-3 and playing in their 3rd straight bowl game. Troys first bowl appearance was in 2004.

Intangibles:

With teams like these and games like this looking for intangibles can be the difference maker. That said though, I just cant find anything worthy.

Both teams played and beat UL Lafayette so it gives us a glimpse at how they may matchup but to be honest a single game played at different points in the season rarely has that much insight.

We are dealing with small schools who are probably more excited about the door prizes than the game itself. I have no doubt that both teams will come to play but finding the edge for either team is more than I am capable of.

The line on this game is Troy -3 and my program has Ohio -4.5 so with that much of a difference this is the first game that qualifies and will be the first game I play.

Official Play:

Ohio U +3 (1/2 unit)
 
You must log in or register to reply here.