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Wal's 2010 College Football Previews

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wal66

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Its not even July yet and already the anticipation is for the upcoming college football season is just jumping off the charts for fans like me. There is no denying that we love all sports but there is something extra special about college football. Whether its team pride, state pride, alumni or just the sport in general our long wait is almost at an end.

Over the next few weeks I plan on doing part preview, part prediction for the major and perhaps a few minor conferences. Today I will start with the SEC Western Conference.


#1 Alabama

The Tide come into the 2010 season as defending National Champions. It was their first National Title since 1992 and their 13th overall. The Tide will embark on yet another title run with 8 returning starters on offense but only 2 on one of the best defenses in college football last season. Even with so many new starters on the defensive side of the ball many of those in the know are predicting this defense to be every bit as good if not better. There is no doubt though, the absence of Arenas, McClain and Cody will surely be missed. On the offensive side of things many expect a more open and higher scoring style. Naturally time will tell and anything can happen but how can bet against a Nick Saban team and a Crimson Tide type legacy?

#2 Arkansas
I have The Razorbacks a notch above many experts out there. I dont think I know more than they do and with reports of Bobby Petrino putting his house up for sale according to Arkansas News I may be backing a lame duck. If Petrino is just downsizing his living arrangements to better suit the economy then his returning of 9 offensive starters and 7 on defense bodes well for the Razorbacks to be a serious contender in the west.

#3 Auburn
Most have Auburn in the #2 spot on this list and for good reason. Auburn will be returning 7 starters on offense and another 8 on defense to a team that went 7-5 overall but only 3-5 in conference play last year. They played tough last season but just always seemed to make that critical error or suffered through scoring droughts but look for huge improvements this season.

#4 Mississippi State
Placing the Bulldogs in this spot wont have many agreeing with me but I got a hunch. Mississippi played solid defense last season, in fact they played really good defense but they just couldnt match the same intensity on offense for the most part. This will be Bill Mullens second year as head coach and expect to see great improvements out of the offense to compliment the defense and give them some rest time on the sidelines.

#5 LSU
How can I possibly wait until the #5 spot to finally get LSU on the board? Simple enough, I like the other teams chances more. LSU should be solid as they will return 6 offensive players and with all due respect there is some serious talent in those players. They will also return 4 starters on defense. The Tigers and coach Les Miles can never be overlooked but I really expect a down season and a near bottom or bottom finish to the season. In all fairness though if their defense performs better than predicted they will definitely be much higher up on this list at seasons end and I will be exactly what I am, an amateur playing professional.

#6 Mississippi
The Rebels finished last season below .500 with a 5-7 overall record and a disappointing 3-5 conference record. They will be returning 4 starters to the offense and another 6 to the defense. I will tell you a player to watch for the Rebels, sophomore running back Rodney Scott is a serious stud. I havent seen their starting line-up but Im banking he will be in it and if he is look for him to make the All SEC team. As for the Rebels though look for them to be basement dwellers this season.

I hate to be one of those that simply falls in line but Alabama is the odds on favorite to represent the west in the SEC Championship but depending on the value I would give serious consideration to Arkansas to unseat the Tide from the throne.

Season Prediction:

Alabama 11-1 (7-1)
Arkansas 9-3 (6-2)
Auburn 8-4 (5-3)
Mississippi St 8-4 (4-4)
LSU 7-5 (4-4)
Ole Miss 7-5 (3-5)
 
Look forward to the rest of them.

Arkansas' defense returning 7 starters from a mediocre D vs. LSU defense which is always pretty damn good?

Gotta go Tigers there...though the Razorback offense should light it up can't say I agree with LSU at 5.

Ballsy post. Keep em coming Wally.
 
Ballsy comes when I release the East division. Course it's hardly ballsy when I've never done this type of forecasting before. Looks GREAT if I'm close and looks like a failed attempt at something more if it's a complete wreck in the end.

According to Dr. Jack at the Mall and the posted odds he has Arkansas is +500 to win the West and +800 to win the SEC. Alabama is odds on favorite naturally but the Razorbacks could surprise plenty and at 5 to 1 aren't worth overlooking for something small at least.
 
Thanks Wal, don't forget to give the updates with this. Completely out of the CFB loop but antsy about wanting to bet some games this year. Not home to watch anything on Sat makes me I guess less interested in betting them but I have to come home to something (wins or losses) this year.
 
good job wal...

i agree with everything; miss st is the sleeper team this year, great coach (Dan Mullen)...followed Urban to FL from Utah; if he has the tools on offense watch out
 
SEC East Division

For Gator fans this will be a season for heavy hearts as we embark on another title run without our beloved Tim Tebow. For the rest of the SEC East it is a season they have long awaited. Careful what you wish for though because John Brantley is very capable.
As a diehard Gator fan it would be easy for me to get caught up in the hype and project Florida to once again be the frontrunner for the east crown. It would be easy but it might not be smart.
Below is how I see the east unveiling this season. Keep in mind though that this is my first attempt at projecting futures and while I may have had previous success during the season on individual games I have no experience playing here where the big boys hold court.

#1 South Carolina
Ummmmmm, thats got to be a typo right? I mean this is the east division and the Gators play in this division so its obviously theirs.
It would be very easy even without Tebow to place Florida as the #1 choice. In fact most already have it like that but I just have this feeling that the ol Ball coach is ready and has the talent to take this spot away this year. The Gamecocks return 8 offensive starters and a solid 7 on the defensive side of the ball to a team that went 7-5 last season and has serious potential to make great improvements on that record. It will all boil down to how sophomore quarterback Steven Garcia handles things. If he settles in and makes better decisions this team can really be something special. They very well could be playing for the east crown come November 13th when they head into the Swamp. The only other serious bump in the road away from home is the game at Auburn.

#2 Florida
It pains me to place Florida here but to be perfectly honest they could finish at #1 or just as easily fall to #3 in the east. If they finish anywhere but the top spot I dont think it will be the fault of John Brantley though. This kid has a serious arm both in strength and accuracy. No, he cant ground and pound it like Tebow but he is an all-around traditional style quarterback. This is where the problem could come into play. While Brantley is capable of running if need be he isnt a typical running style quarterback nor is he an option style quarterback. Give him the ball and a receiver with a step and he will light the secondary up though. The situation on offense comes down to if Meyers allows the offense to open up the passing game and IF the receivers are ready to deliver the goods. Also a concern is the health of Demps and Rainey. With more carries coming their way this year it could be a factor.
On the defensive side of the ball Florida will be aggressive and FAST as always and they are returning 7 starters. Hopefully with another year under their belt the secondary is ready to be what is expected of them.

#3 Georgia
Georgia has plenty of returning talent. In fact they are returning 10 offensive starters and 6 defensive. Athletic talent wont be an issue for the Dawgs. It will all boil down to how they performs schematically. If the offense can control the ball and capitalize on the PLENTIFUL scoring opportunities and if the defense can remain disciplined and play assignment football the sky is the limit for this team. I have them at #3 but they could easily be the east champs and even be in National contention if they perform to their potential.

#4 Kentucky
Probably a spot higher than most will place them and thats understandable but I like their chances to finish ahead of Tennessee and Vanderbilt. They will have a young and inexperienced offense returning only 5 starters but they do get 7 defensive starters back. No Im not saying that Wildcats defense is enough to carry them through but that defense did have glimpses of outstanding performance last year and could be very much improved this season. As the saying goes, defense wins championships, this wont help Kentucky win the east title but it will help have a respectable season.

#5 Tennessee
Poor ol Rocky Top, coach done left for the bright lights and big dreams of CALI-FORN-I-A. Course he arrived just in time for some sanctions, good for him. Kiffin might prefer some NCAA timeout on post season play rather than dealing with SEC opponents anyways. Tennessee will be better off in the long run too, ummmmm, but not this season. Potential bottom dwellers for the Vols.

#6 Vanderbilt
How can you not root for the Commodores? I mean these kids are the brainpans of the SEC and even though they are generally just a practice game for their opponents they still put up a fight. I would love to see them higher up but unless they beat Tennessee in Nashville this is where they will end up.

South Carolina 10-2 (6-2)
Florida 10-2 (6-2)
Georgia 8-4 (5-3)
Kentucky 6-6 (4-4)
Tennessee 5-7 (2-6)
Vanderbilt 3-9 (2-6)

I have South Carolina facing Alabama in the SEC Title game. As stated though Florida is the perennial favorite for good reason and Georgia is a serious contender for more than just an SEC title if they are on point.
 
who are the 4 loses you got for UGA?

I agree about the east.The East is wide open b/t Fla, UGA, and SC.

UGAs season comes down to the freshman QB and how the defense picks ups the new scheme. I think Murray will be fine behind the the #1 offensive line in the country.
If the defense picks ups Grathams new scheme without to many mistakes then watch out.
Personally I cant wait to see what happens this season, no more soft defense, #1 offensive line in the country, #1 reciever in the country, and an experienced and talented back field.
 
Georgia has the talent to beat anyone but unless they play more disciplined they can be beat by anyone as well. I do have an 8-4 record shown here but to be honest an out of conference loss is highly unlikely.

Georgia reminds me of the team Florida State had last year. Amazing athletic talent but not so good at assignment football.

As for the out of conference loss as unlikely as it is they better not sleep when they travel to Boulder. The losses in conference could be any number of opponents from Florida, Arkansas, South Carolina to Auburn or even an underrated Mississippi St team.

Georgia could just as easily go 11-1 or 12-0 and be right in the National Tilte Picture.
 
Odds Furnished by Dr. Jack at Cappersmall

2010 NCAA Conference Division Odds - Atlantic Division

odds from thegreek


3521 Boston College +300
3522 Clemson +250
3523 Florida State +125
3524 Maryland +1200
3525 North Carolina State +650
3526 Wake Forest +1000


2010 NCAA Conference Division Odds - Coastal Division



3531 Duke +1200
3532 Georgia Tech +500
3533 Miami Florida +125
3534 North Carolina +250
3535 Virginia +800
3536 Virginia Tech +250













Ah, the Atlantic Coast Conference. Next to the SEC the ACC might have the best overall talent of any other conference out there. Yeah I know Im full of crap with that statement right? Its all a matter of opinion but I really see loads of talent in this conference form a purely athletic standpoint. From a performance standpoint its a bit of a disappointment maybe. With a bevy of big fast defensive players and rosters filled with speedy, quick offensive backs the ACC is fast becoming a mirror image of the SEC. Not yet on par but getting closer every year. If a couple of things happen this year the ACC may be considered an elite conference by the time all is said and done.

What kind of things? The short list will include, Georgia Tech strengthening that defense to compliment the offense. This also must coincide with that option offense being able to maintain its previous success. Florida State needs to start playing with discipline to match their incredible athletic ability. Miami has all the talent it needs and the players have a little seasoning under their belts so if they perform to the level of their potential this team has a real shot at something huge. North Carolina has a very fast, very aggressive defense, if they can complement the offensive side of the ball they might well be the most consistent team in the entire conference. Virginia Tech is year in and year out the team to beat in the conference and with their consistency and ability to reload lost talent will remain to be a force.

Just a step below those teams we have Clemson. This team has the talent just lacking the discipline to take it to the next level, if that changes this year watch out for this team to upset plenty. Boston College really doesnt fit the mold of the new ACC type team. They are more like a Big Ten team, slow and methodical. This isnt a bad thing but in order to keep up with the transition being made in this conference they are gonna have to fully evolve. Wake Forest pretty much is in the exact same boat as Boston College. This is a good second tier team in the conference and can do some damage but they really need to play perfect football in order to do so.

The conference is wrapped up with Duke who played inspired last year and had a couple of very impressive performances to show for it. Here again though for Duke to do damage they have to play perfect and the top tier teams have to make some key mistakes or basically play flat. Duke just doesnt have the speed to keep pace with the upper level teams in the conference. Virginia, Maryland and North Carolina State wrap up the rest of the ACC as bottom dwellers. Any one of them could have some high points and potential upsets along the way but I just dont see any of these teams having what it takes to replace the front runners yet.

Atlantic Division Champion:
I really think it is Florida States to lose this year. Loads of talent, coaching change and some seasoned experience under their belt it is very difficult to go against them here. Although if there is a team in this division that has the potential to top the Noles it is Clemson. If FSU continues to play mistake prone football they could be a huge disappointment this season and allow Clemson to steal the division right out from under them.

Coastal Division Champion:
Here is where it gets really difficult. We have 4 of the best teams in the entire conference in one division. North Carolina and Georgia Tech give us the best odds for the money but Miami and Virginia Tech are the odds on favorites for a reason. I would go out on a limb here if I felt confident that the Tar Heels had an offense ready for the big time cause I really like how they play defense. I just dont have that confidence though. I keep thinking Georgia Techs offense will get figured out and teams will start shutting it down but them they go out and put up 400, 500+ yards on teams.
I think when all the smoke clears though and everything is said and done Miami is the team to win the division. They have the talent. They have the athletes and the team speed goes without question. It will all boil down to if they have learned from their mistakes and are ready to take their place as leaders. I hope they are.

ACC Conference Champion:
I sound like a home state homer and maybe I am clouded. I hate both teams with a passion but I cannot get past all the top to bottom talent these teams have. I see Florida State and Miami playing for the title and Florida State winning the 2010 ACC Championship.
 
Big Ten football in the eyes of many outside the conference isnt very popular if you frequent many forums. Yes the conference is rich in tradition but lets face it, its been kind of boring not to mention kind of a disappointment. Ohio State has won 3 outright and split 2 other Conference Titles in the past 5 seasons. To some this says Ohio State is a dynasty and to others it just says theres very little competition in the conference. Ohio State did play for the National Title in 2006 and 2007 but lost both to Florida and LSU respectively.

Last season though the conference was given a spark. Northwestern had some impressive offensive performances and Iowa showed that they might be ready to start being a force within the conference. Many think that Wisconsin too is ready to be a major factor in this and from what I have researched may in fact be true.

This is the last season the Big Ten will be an 11 team conference. Next year they add Nebraska to the fold and for the first time will join the other major conferences in having a Conference Title game. I wont get into what Nebraska will do in this conference because thats a year away but I will say that I am looking forward to seeing how all that plays out.

I havent poled the masses but I doubt the majority of college football fans outside the Big Ten would think anyone but Ohio State will yet again be the Conference Champion. They return potentially the leading Heisman candidate in quarterback Terrelle Pryor. While Pryor is still not a traditional quarterback he has definitely improved his throwing abilities the past two seasons. When he is given time to drop back in the pocket the guy can do some serious damage. If this progression continues this season then Ohio State will definitely be in serious contention not only in the Big Ten but on a National level as well.

The Buckeyes even with Pryor will not have an easy pass though. The Iowa Hawkeyes were no fluke in 2009. They are for real and in all likelihood will continue to be a force in years to come. When you dont have a Conference Title game scheduling is everything, let me emphasize this, its EVERYTHING! Iowa get Penn State, Wisconsin and Ohio State all at home. Without a crystal ball telling us of key injuries to key players these 3 home games in all likelihood will determine Iowas first outright Conference Title since 1985. I said outright, they split in 2004, 2002 and 1990.

Sentimental favorites to win the conference is probably still Penn State. This isnt so much an endorsement of the Lions as it is we want to see Joe Pa get an outright title and gracefully call it a career. It would be a really nice piece of programming for ESPN or CBS to do at the end of the season but dont look for it to happen. Not only would Joe Pa continue to coach the Lions have no shot at winning the conference this season. Ok maybe a shot but its a long distance shot in gale force winds and zero visibility.

New contender to the title this year is Wisconsin. The Badgers support one of the best offensive lines not just in the conference but in college football. Steady ground and pound ball control offense will be essential for the Badgers though because the defense while experienced have had a knack for giving up substantial points for their opponents. If and like before let me emphasize IF, the Badgers defense makes some adjustments and are able to equal the intensity of the offense Wisconsin could very well not merely be a new contender but the real deal in the conference this year.

Other things to look for in the Big Ten this 2010 season is the emergence of Michigan State. They wont be contenders but much improved and still better than Richy Boys Wolverines. Indiana will light up the scoreboards and sometimes it will even be with some of their own scores. Scoreboard fuses will be blown with Purdue as well. The Boilermakers will put up plenty of points but rarely will they put up more than they allow. Illinois will play tough, Illinois will put up a fight but Illinois will finish middle ahead of Michigan, Minnesota, Indiana and Purdue but behind everyone else. Look for Northwestern to be much improved this year as well and provide us with a nice upset along the way.

So who wins the conference this year? Like I really know. If I had a gun to my head I still think Ohio State with a healthy Pryor is the team to beat. Not much of a stretch there I know but would you do any different if you had a gun to your head? Now if I was allowed to freely pick any team I wanted without potential brain trauma this is what I would look for this season in the Big Ten.

Champions:
Ohio State

Gun to my head or not Ohio State is tested and proven and Pryor is an amazing talent, the best talent the Buckeyes have had. I would love to see Wisconsin or even Iowa win the title but Tressel with Pryor get the job done.

Odds of winning the conference: (furnished by Dr. Jack at Cappersmall)

Ohio State +150
Iowa +300
Wisconsin +300
Penn State +650
Michigan State +1000
Michigan +1000
Illinois +1500
Purdue +1500
Indiana +2000
Minnesota +2000
Northwestern +2000
 
Nice updates Wal! Will go back to this thread right before the season starts. This year I have to do something every Sat. for sure.

Working Sat. has kinda made me not too into CFB and betting. Bad habit is those TV games always seem to grab my attention to bet on!