UNLV +35, -110

[Vegas Dave]

- TCU will be looking ahead to next week's season-defining game at Utah, no reason to get up or focused for an easy one at UNLV

- TCU is 0-2 ATS on the road this season (41-24 over SMU at -18, 27-0 over Colorado State at -33.5)

- UNLV 3-0 ATS at home this season, including scoring 20+ points twice as big dogs (41-21 L to Wisc at +21, 45-10 W over NM at -10.5, 44-26 L to Nev at +20.5)

Don't think UNLV will put up 20 on TCU obviously, but with TCU not at their best, I think they do get the cover this week.

Here's the rest of my picks...

Clemson -7.0
Minnesota +25.5
SMU/Tulane Over 53.5
Toledo/Eastern Michigan Over 56.5
Stanford/Washington Over 63.0

 

[MrMonkey]

Good luck Davey! Not up on CFB but don't teams like TCU (the unappreciated) like to roll up the score since it might help them in the BCS rankings? Your numbers though suggest you are on the right side.

 

[Vegas Dave]

Good luck Davey! Not up on CFB but don't teams like TCU (the unappreciated) like to roll up the score since it might help them in the BCS rankings? Your numbers though suggest you are on the right side.

TCU's coach Gary Patterson generally does not run up the score late in games if his team is in command. If you pull up the 4th quarter play-by-plays of TCU's big wins this year, you'll see long clock-eating drives with mostly rushing plays called late in the game.