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Tuesday Mud

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wal66

wal66

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Muddy I resisted the urge to post these yesterday because I always do them the day of and just didnt want to tempt fate. Here are the options for today.

Option #1: Reds/Phils under 7 (-115)
Option #2: Tampa Bay Rays (-129)
Option #3: MinneSODA Twins (+135)
Option #4: Troy +3.5
 
Muddy this isn't fair. I can't risk your good run at selecting from the Mud by throwing you a curve here. Obviously the baseball games are tomorrow and not today so there would only be one selction for today and that's not enabling your skills to flourish.


No Mud Play today.
 
Per my agreement I have to wager a game a day regardless of how slow it is. I honestly have no feel for the game tonight. My initial reaction was Troy and the points but I might just wait till halftime and try and decide something.
 
I absolutely do throw in a boy howdy sometimes. I am nothing without my boy howdy.

When doing it in person with people I know, it is considered ironic and humorous. I'm never quite sure how it comes across on the forum though. But still I persist.
 
McB I am up in arms over this game. Dasher is definitely a difference maker on offense but as to what impact he may have in his first game back is anyone’s guess. He could be chomping at the bit and come out and play outstanding or he could be so hyped up he comes out and makes silly mistakes. I lean more to him being a true difference maker.

The plain truth is though Troy is not the Troy of years past. Sure they can still put up some impressive points but they make plenty of mistakes along the way with turnovers. Troy has a statistical edge between the two schools but that doesn’t always mean much.

The total here is 62.5 and a game between these teams hasn’t gone over a total that high since 2001. Both schools are averaging 30 points per game so far this season so the total seems fair based on that but just feels fishy.

Also Troy has won the previous 4 meetings between the schools. I’m kind of notorious for wanting to buck trends and that gets me in trouble sometimes. I think though if I had to make a play I would lean towards Middle Tennessee and the under here. I imagine I will be teasing this if RebateWager allows such a teaser.
 
According to my program Troy should be favored by 7 which would give me 10 points of value but the program doesn't take into consideration injuries and returning players in determining a line. In a case like this I would descard what my program line suggest.
 
Maybe I am reading the total all wrong as well. I mean yes they are averaging 30 points per game this year but as stated no game has gone that high since 2001. I tell ya McB I am in such a funk right now in college football I really don't trust my judgment on anything.
 
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