New Zealand +1.5
Italy's attacking is the weakest point of the team and Buffon, I am pretty sure is out. That is enough for me to take a goal and half.
I know. But a lot of bad teams have drawn or only lost by 1. I started with this pick just to bust Daft's balls about Italy. But since I am drunk and killed on the UFC tonight, I talked myself onto it so I am going with it.
Same starting lineup for Italy. Gilardino has to get it going today! Must win by at least 2-0 to stay with Paraguay. Here's your Italia lesson for the day.