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Just under a year after being taken as the #1 pick in the 2009 MLB Draft, Stephen Strasburg will make his Washington Nationals debut Tuesday when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates at Nationals Park. After being drafted on June 9 last year and subsequently signing a record $15.1 million contract as a draftee Strasburg is arguably the most anticipated rookie pitcher since Mark Prior, awarded what was then a record $10.5 million contract in the 2001 MLB Draft, so maybe it's best not to get too carried away just yet.
The Nationals enter Tuesday with a 27-31 record, identical to their Pythagorean Record, putting them in the cellar of the National League East and 6 games back in the Division and 7 games back in the race for the Wild Card so the addition of Strasburg would be some welcome relief although it will take more than one star pitcher every five games to make a difference for the Nationals in 2010.
Livan Herandez is the current ace of the pitching staff, and surely this is the first time he has ever been described as such since the days of the Montreal Expos, who is sporting a 4-3 record after 11 starts with a miniscule 2.22 ERA. However, all is not what it seems from those statistics which masks how badly he has been pitching in reality. Although he is 7th in ERA of the 149 starting pitchers in the majors with 30+ innings he ranks 113th in xFIP suggesting that he he going to revert to the mean sooner rather than later and his ZiPS forecast predicting him going 4-9 for the remainder of the season with a 4.91 ERA. It seems like the Nationals might need about x3 Stephen Strasburgs to be a contender in 2010.
On the basis that if there's something going on in the sports world a sportsbook will offer a line on it, Pinnacle have stepped up to the plate and offered a number of props on Strasburg's debut. If you prefer the more traditional offerings then the Nationals are listed at -200 favorites, +110 on the runline and the O/U is set at 8.5.
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The Nationals enter Tuesday with a 27-31 record, identical to their Pythagorean Record, putting them in the cellar of the National League East and 6 games back in the Division and 7 games back in the race for the Wild Card so the addition of Strasburg would be some welcome relief although it will take more than one star pitcher every five games to make a difference for the Nationals in 2010.
Livan Herandez is the current ace of the pitching staff, and surely this is the first time he has ever been described as such since the days of the Montreal Expos, who is sporting a 4-3 record after 11 starts with a miniscule 2.22 ERA. However, all is not what it seems from those statistics which masks how badly he has been pitching in reality. Although he is 7th in ERA of the 149 starting pitchers in the majors with 30+ innings he ranks 113th in xFIP suggesting that he he going to revert to the mean sooner rather than later and his ZiPS forecast predicting him going 4-9 for the remainder of the season with a 4.91 ERA. It seems like the Nationals might need about x3 Stephen Strasburgs to be a contender in 2010.
On the basis that if there's something going on in the sports world a sportsbook will offer a line on it, Pinnacle have stepped up to the plate and offered a number of props on Strasburg's debut. If you prefer the more traditional offerings then the Nationals are listed at -200 favorites, +110 on the runline and the O/U is set at 8.5.
.