Prop Lines

[FreeFall]

Hey guys I was wondering if you could help me with this or telling me if these are poisson;

Ginobili vs Morrow - most points scored by - Both players must play in game for wager to have action. (San Antonio Spurs vs New Jersey Nets)
02/14/2011 102 Manu Ginobili - points
OFF -5.5 (+105) OFF

18:55 ET Anthony Morrow - points
OFF +5.5 (-155) OFF
Parker vs Harris - most points+assists made by - Both players must play in game for wager to have action. (San Antonio Spurs vs New Jersey Nets)
02/14/2011 103 Tony Parker - pts+assists
OFF -3.5 (even) OFF

18:55 ET Devin Harris - pts+assists
OFF +3.5 (-150) OFF
Duncan vs Lopez - most points+rebounds made by - Both players must play in game for wager to have action. (San Antonio Spurs vs New Jersey Nets)
02/14/2011 104 Tim Duncan - pts+rebounds
OFF +5 (-165) OFF

18:55 ET Brook Lopez - pts+rebounds
OFF -5 (+115) OFF

in comparison to ;

2/14/2011 7:00 PM Parker vs Harris - most points+assists made by Both players must play in game for wager to have action. Overtime counts towards wager. Official stats via NBA.com. Any scoring changes after game is official are invalid towards wager. Max wager $300. No rebets without line movement.
107 Tony Parker -2 pts+assists -140
108 Devin Harris +2 pts+assists +110
2/14/2011 7:00 PM Duncan vs Lopez - most points+rebounds made by Both players must play in game for wager to have action. Overtime counts towards wager. Official stats via NBA.com. Any scoring changes after game is official are invalid towards wager. Max wager $300. No rebets without line movement.
109 Tim Duncan +2 pts+rebounds +155
110 Brook Lopez -2 pts+rebounds -185
2/14/2011 7:00 PM Ginobili vs Morrow - most points scored by Both players must play in game for wager to have action. Overtime counts towards wager. Official stats via NBA.com. Any scoring changes after game is official are invalid towards wager. Max wager $300. No rebets without line movement.
111 Manu Ginobili -3 points -130
112 Anthony Morrow +3 points +100

can I adjust these using a poisson calculator?

 

[rito]

NBA points are not poisson, they don't count by 1. (ie you can score 1,2 or 3 at a time).

You can look at pts per possession.

If you figure em out, please get a local and don't bet at the greek.

 

[FreeFall]

NBA points are not poisson, they don't count by 1. (ie you can score 1,2 or 3 at a time).

You can look at pts per possession.

If you figure em out, please get a local and don't bet at the greek.

thanks durito!

Yeah I gotta re-read Mr. Wong again since I remember seeing this in his book. I wouldn't dream of betting these at the greek. I use them as part of my "average" line. Thanks for the heads up tho!