Pinny has +152 for draw in this soccer game. What edge is there if you can get +180

[Patty]

Helppppppppppppppppp

 

[djiddish98]

based on current draw of +155 - I have ~6.7% - Half kelly bet of 1.84% of bank roll

 

[Patty]

what % of my roll should i wager?

 

[djiddish98]

what kelly mult?

 

[Patty]

I'm not good with this kelly stuff what % do you recommend @ +180 price?

 

[Herman]

all in

 

[djiddish98]

It really depends on your risk aversion and how sharp you think this line is. I would probably go between .35 and .5 based upon the limits there.

Right now, I have a half kelly % of 1.94% based upon draw of 154.

Edit: now 155, so I have half kelly of 1.79%

 

[Patty]

okay i'll do that thanks

 

[Patty]

UNREAL MOVED LINE DOWN TO +165 FUK BURIAL

 

[djiddish98]

was this bodog? Those bastards

Edit: You can still bet .29%

 

[Patty]

yES BODOG