Vegas Dave
Not a Real GameLiver
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- Jan 28, 2010
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Blew my load financially a little early in Vegas this weekend with a terrible gambling day one (thanks BYU, and tables), but bet my last $60 on a pair of parlays, hoping to have a penny to my name when my buddy and I hit the town for our last night.
NYG was a major philo pick, as was Jacksonville. As for SD, I just had a really good feeling that would be a blowout. Here were my write-ups.
Indianapolis (-7.0) @ Jacksonville (+7.0)
Oh Philosophy Picks, will this be the week you return to me? Indianapolis is coming off of two straight double-digit wins, and the public loves to bet on them. Jacksonville is coming off two straight losses by a 25-point margin, and the public loves to bet against them. Over 80% of the public is on Indianapolis. Indianapolis is playing their second straight road game and third in their first four games, Jacksonville hasn't had to travel as this is their second straight home game and third of their first four at home. So travel, public perception, one high team versus one low team, and lastly, a division underdog, at home, getting an entire touchdown of points? I can't pass on Jacksonville in this spot. Indianapolis wins, but by a slim margin.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^Jacksonville
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Indianapolis
Chicago (+3.5) @ NY Giants (-3.5)
This is another one of those Philosophy Picks that just write themselves.
1. Off Spread - NY Giants 1-2 with two blowout losses, Chicago 3-0 with wins over two of the NFC's elite in Green Bay and Dallas, and the spread is giving Chicago more than a field goal?
2. NY Giants Motivation - Last week, the Giants got blown out at home. The week before, the Giants got blown out on Sunday Night Football; two completely humiliating results. Now, they play at home again and on Sunday Night Football again? New York should have plenty of frustration to take out on the Bears.
3. Chicago Letdown Spot - Week one was a trying win over Detroit, week two was a win IN Dallas, and week three was a hard fought Monday Night Football win over division rival Green Bay. I always go against a team coming off of a win against a division rival on MNF; but tack on the two games before it, too, and a letdown seems imminent.
If the Giants have even a hint of pride, which I believe they do, Chicago should be walking into a warzone this weekend.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^NY Giants
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: ^NY Giants
Arizona (+8.5) @ San Diego (-8.5)
I can't continue to emphasize enough how bad this Arizona team is. Yes, I know people are worried about San Diego too, but back at home against an opponent of Arizona's caliber, we should see the same result we saw in week two for both of these teams; a blowout loss for Arizona, and a blowout win for San Diego.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: San Diego
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: San Diego
Only wish I'd had the balls to take Jax straight up!
I suck at life (and more specifically, football) about 95% of the time, but hell-fucking-yeah for that occasional 5%!
NYG was a major philo pick, as was Jacksonville. As for SD, I just had a really good feeling that would be a blowout. Here were my write-ups.
Indianapolis (-7.0) @ Jacksonville (+7.0)
Oh Philosophy Picks, will this be the week you return to me? Indianapolis is coming off of two straight double-digit wins, and the public loves to bet on them. Jacksonville is coming off two straight losses by a 25-point margin, and the public loves to bet against them. Over 80% of the public is on Indianapolis. Indianapolis is playing their second straight road game and third in their first four games, Jacksonville hasn't had to travel as this is their second straight home game and third of their first four at home. So travel, public perception, one high team versus one low team, and lastly, a division underdog, at home, getting an entire touchdown of points? I can't pass on Jacksonville in this spot. Indianapolis wins, but by a slim margin.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^Jacksonville
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Indianapolis
Chicago (+3.5) @ NY Giants (-3.5)
This is another one of those Philosophy Picks that just write themselves.
1. Off Spread - NY Giants 1-2 with two blowout losses, Chicago 3-0 with wins over two of the NFC's elite in Green Bay and Dallas, and the spread is giving Chicago more than a field goal?
2. NY Giants Motivation - Last week, the Giants got blown out at home. The week before, the Giants got blown out on Sunday Night Football; two completely humiliating results. Now, they play at home again and on Sunday Night Football again? New York should have plenty of frustration to take out on the Bears.
3. Chicago Letdown Spot - Week one was a trying win over Detroit, week two was a win IN Dallas, and week three was a hard fought Monday Night Football win over division rival Green Bay. I always go against a team coming off of a win against a division rival on MNF; but tack on the two games before it, too, and a letdown seems imminent.
If the Giants have even a hint of pride, which I believe they do, Chicago should be walking into a warzone this weekend.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: ^NY Giants
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: ^NY Giants
Arizona (+8.5) @ San Diego (-8.5)
I can't continue to emphasize enough how bad this Arizona team is. Yes, I know people are worried about San Diego too, but back at home against an opponent of Arizona's caliber, we should see the same result we saw in week two for both of these teams; a blowout loss for Arizona, and a blowout win for San Diego.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: San Diego
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: San Diego
Only wish I'd had the balls to take Jax straight up!
I suck at life (and more specifically, football) about 95% of the time, but hell-fucking-yeah for that occasional 5%!
