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Parlay Push for Presents (Week of 11/29/10 thru 12/4/10)

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wal66

wal66

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Last week I posted plenty of winners but where it counts I lost 6 out of 7 days on my daily plays. Normally I would have been complaining about the losing but I maintained a positive outlook all week because of it being a holiday week and all. Well the holiday is over but there will be no complaining even if I go 0-7 this week.

This week I have set as a Parlay Only week. This week there will be no Mud Play options, there will be no opinions about games or potential plays or anything other than parlays.

I will post one parlay per day, sometimes 2 teams at others more but ONLY PARLAYS for this entire week. I will not whine or complain (MrMonkey) because I know going in there is a very limited chance of success. Obviously I would like to hit several of these throughout the week but in all likelihood I will lose all of them.

This weeks motivation is Parlay Push for Presents. The sole motivation for this week is to try and hit the lottery and use any and all winnings to spend on family and friends for Christmas. Chances are most will be getting Wally Bubbles Christmas cards as it is doubtful any of these will win.
 
WagerType:pARLAY (4 TEAMS)

Date: Team:

Nov 29 NFL [239] SF 49`ERS o41-110
Nov 29 NBA [507] MIL BUCKS +9-110
Nov 29 CBB [515] BOISE STATE -6-110
Nov 29 NHL [1] PIT PENGUINS -120

Risking 50 USD To Win 588 USD
Ticket#: 44113
 
I7ustin, I won't get buried, of that I am certain. I simply don't ever have enough in play to hurt myself. However as for the guy who was trying to get sharper goes, I am still that person. It may not seem like it, especially this week but I am. I have to do the eductaional stuff in steps because (A) I need much help and too much at once gets overwhelming and (B) these guys are very helpful but it can get trying on their patience if I either don't get it or don't get it quickly enough.

This week is just for fun. I was planning on hockey totals all week but when I looked at the lines today I simply didn't see an edge with the available games.
 
Not surprising I did not win my parlay last night. I did get off to a great start as the Penguins beat the Rangers 3-1 and Boise St -6 beat Northern Illinois by 29. Then things got normal. Now as many of you read I told the Tipster Seeker that I all my plays are delivered straight from God himself and obviously even the non-believers have to be asking if God is giving me the plays how could they lose? Well I lost the Bucks +9 but God did intervene but I ignored the warning. I always write down all my plays and as I was writing this play down I initially and accidently wrote Utah instead of Milwaukee. It was a sign and I totally missed it. As for the over in the 49’ers/Cardinals game well, even God himself and all the miracles he can bestow couldn’t make that Derek Anderson a real quarterback, dude sucks so bad even divine intervention couldn’t help.
 
Maybe most people treat a parlay kind of like playing the lottery, just randomly select a few games, throw them together and hope for the best. I try (emphasize TRY) to only select the games I would normally play based on capping and now line movement as well. The problem is knowing when to go for broke and get greedy and when to simply play it as safe as one can play it with a parlay and only play a 2-Teamer.

Today when I first looked at the lines I saw Ohio St at Florida St only laying 4.5. The line looked odd because Ohio St has a very good team and while FSU has some talent they should have a hard time matching up throughout the entire game. Now the line has moved to Ohio St -4 which means FSU is getting some action so I cant include Ohio St in my list of potentials.

So that leaves me with Western Carolina -3. Northwestern -4, Tampa Bay/Toronto u5.5, St Louis/Chicago u5.5, Atlanta/Colorado o5.5 and Detroit/San Jose o5.5.

I need to reduce the chance of losing and still do a parlay so I am going with.

WagerType:pARLAY (2 TEAMS)

Date: Team:

Nov 30 NHL [54] CHI BLACKHAWKS u5-130
Nov 30 NHL [59] DET REDWINGS o5-120

Risking 50 USD To Win 112 USD
Ticket#: 44659

I wanted to include RogueJuror's soccer play but unfortunately I can't parlay soccer.
 
Seriously Wally hope you cash this but as you know parleys will not make you money over the long run. We have NFL betting right here in Delaware but only parleys and nobody is talking about going there. Ads on radio keep saying parleys paying out 800-1 odds. I think it was 10 teams?

I'm glad it's only a week long thing but hopefully you will end up in the black with one big hit. Good luck!
:scholar:
 
Mr.Monkey I truly have no expectations for this going well. True I am only playing combinations where I "think" I have an edge but naturally that edge is lost when combined with other teams. I do have better odds doing this than playing the lottery though.

Nest week I will go back to regular plays and when they lose I will once again be whining and complaining.
 
I know I said this week would be parlay's and parlay's only and I fully expected to take a beating all week in doing this but I have to play smart as much as that's not really me. I have a 3 Teamer tonight and the first 2 legs are winners so I have to hedge the third game. I have Pacific -11 so I will lay $100 on Pepperdine.
 
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