wal66
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Hey Wakky, this is Polaroid and here are some questions - you're now officially on the record. I'll also do a little write up around the statistical side of it all this week as well. It was a very entertaining challenge so well done for taking it on, for seeing it through and most importantly for winning.
Durito pissed me off one night and I wanted to prove something to one of the Pro’s. It turned out that Durito was drinking and was just trying to get a rise out of me which he did. It’s hard to bow up on the internet so I made this challenge as a way to head butt Durito.
I think I have a better understanding of Durito both sober and not now though.
There were a couple of bad runs along the way but Baseball almost tanked me. I was close to calling it quits until football season when I went from over $2400 and +40 games over .500 to $500 to the good.
Outside of the Baseball though there were a couple of times when I thought it was a lot of work. I don’t have a program that automatically collects and sorts my data so every single play has to be done by hand. It takes up more time than one might think. It definitely isn’t a good return when you break it down into man hours.
I can’t say that I learned this during this challenge but it was confirmed that if you trust in your system and stick with it even in the bad runs it stands a chance of paying off.
I gained an enormous amount of respect for these guys that do this for a living. Even if you have a program and much of it is automated it is still plenty of work. Add to that the ups and downs and having the perseverance to stay at it.
I learned that some of you think that ERA’s are luck influenced.
I learned that P-Roid has a devilish stubborn streak and doesn’t like to conceded a point.
I wished I had paid attention to the prices closer so I could instantly recognize a price and convert it in my head. The easy ones I know at a glance but -138 or along those lines still makes me stop and think or look it up.
I finally learned but learned too late that I should ONLY play first games in a series or wait and play AGAINST a team getting swept in a series in Baseball.
To be successful I think I would need to completely trust my system and play all the plays that qualify. That would mean I would have to play them for less money per game but several times I cost myself breaking even or making money by excluding a bunch of plays.
The flip side to what I just explained is Baseball. In Baseball I needed to be more selective and I really need to find something else to add to my system to help increase my edge. I had a losing record in Baseball so maybe I need to find an edge before increasing it.
College Basketball just like in College Football I am heavily reliant on Sargin Rankings. I have a few tweaks of my own to add in but I start with a Sargin’s base.
Hockey is so simple it would make you laugh. It’s straight stats. I look at head to head, last 10 regular season games, scoring average and scoring differential. I would really like to spend some time learning more about the goalies and home and away history of teams.
Baseball I basically used the same stuff as I did in hockey but also added ERA’s and series records throughout the season.
Basketball and Football I have a home brew for home advantage but I never got around to playing with that in Baseball or Hockey.
There was some tweaking during Baseball but to be honest the entire challenge was in essence a tweakfest because I really have never bet with any length of time any of the sport’s used for this challenge. College Football and NFL is basically all I have ever wagered on.
Mixed emotions here. I’m not sure if it was people checking in to see if I was failing or checking in to see if there was a decent play posted.
There was some chatter in the thread but the main support was from Archie and MrMonkey with a good dose of MudCat along the way.
It’s hard to say. I wanted to prove something here and I think I did but I set this up more at a disadvantage to myself. You guys see the -110 as a disadvantage but that really wasn’t something I considered all that hard.
I forced myself to keep posting plays. Sure I took a few days off here and there but for the most part I made myself feel as if I had to keep at it.
Also I set this up as basically a challenge against myself. Sure, all I had to do was show a winning record and a profit but I think it is kind of easier going head to head against someone.
I’ve said it already but it truly needs repeating. Durito deserves a lot of credit here for accepting this challenge under the terms I laid out. He could have easily chose to challenge me head to head and he most likely would have won.
I appreciate you for having the courage to accept such a challenge. I have seen poster challenges in the past but I have never seen one where someone manned up and paid off.
Durito pissed me off one night and I wanted to prove something to one of the Pro’s. It turned out that Durito was drinking and was just trying to get a rise out of me which he did. It’s hard to bow up on the internet so I made this challenge as a way to head butt Durito.
I think I have a better understanding of Durito both sober and not now though.
There were a couple of bad runs along the way but Baseball almost tanked me. I was close to calling it quits until football season when I went from over $2400 and +40 games over .500 to $500 to the good.
Outside of the Baseball though there were a couple of times when I thought it was a lot of work. I don’t have a program that automatically collects and sorts my data so every single play has to be done by hand. It takes up more time than one might think. It definitely isn’t a good return when you break it down into man hours.
I can’t say that I learned this during this challenge but it was confirmed that if you trust in your system and stick with it even in the bad runs it stands a chance of paying off.
I gained an enormous amount of respect for these guys that do this for a living. Even if you have a program and much of it is automated it is still plenty of work. Add to that the ups and downs and having the perseverance to stay at it.
I learned that some of you think that ERA’s are luck influenced.
I learned that P-Roid has a devilish stubborn streak and doesn’t like to conceded a point.
I wished I had paid attention to the prices closer so I could instantly recognize a price and convert it in my head. The easy ones I know at a glance but -138 or along those lines still makes me stop and think or look it up.
I finally learned but learned too late that I should ONLY play first games in a series or wait and play AGAINST a team getting swept in a series in Baseball.
To be successful I think I would need to completely trust my system and play all the plays that qualify. That would mean I would have to play them for less money per game but several times I cost myself breaking even or making money by excluding a bunch of plays.
The flip side to what I just explained is Baseball. In Baseball I needed to be more selective and I really need to find something else to add to my system to help increase my edge. I had a losing record in Baseball so maybe I need to find an edge before increasing it.
College Basketball just like in College Football I am heavily reliant on Sargin Rankings. I have a few tweaks of my own to add in but I start with a Sargin’s base.
Hockey is so simple it would make you laugh. It’s straight stats. I look at head to head, last 10 regular season games, scoring average and scoring differential. I would really like to spend some time learning more about the goalies and home and away history of teams.
Baseball I basically used the same stuff as I did in hockey but also added ERA’s and series records throughout the season.
Basketball and Football I have a home brew for home advantage but I never got around to playing with that in Baseball or Hockey.
There was some tweaking during Baseball but to be honest the entire challenge was in essence a tweakfest because I really have never bet with any length of time any of the sport’s used for this challenge. College Football and NFL is basically all I have ever wagered on.
Mixed emotions here. I’m not sure if it was people checking in to see if I was failing or checking in to see if there was a decent play posted.
There was some chatter in the thread but the main support was from Archie and MrMonkey with a good dose of MudCat along the way.
It’s hard to say. I wanted to prove something here and I think I did but I set this up more at a disadvantage to myself. You guys see the -110 as a disadvantage but that really wasn’t something I considered all that hard.
I forced myself to keep posting plays. Sure I took a few days off here and there but for the most part I made myself feel as if I had to keep at it.
Also I set this up as basically a challenge against myself. Sure, all I had to do was show a winning record and a profit but I think it is kind of easier going head to head against someone.
I’ve said it already but it truly needs repeating. Durito deserves a lot of credit here for accepting this challenge under the terms I laid out. He could have easily chose to challenge me head to head and he most likely would have won.
I appreciate you for having the courage to accept such a challenge. I have seen poster challenges in the past but I have never seen one where someone manned up and paid off.
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