Mr.X, My Adjusted Lines

[wal66]

Mr.X, here is this weeks games with my adjusted lines. Im NOT using this, this week as I have said but itll give you an example of what Im doing.

The way I use this is there must be a 3.5 point differential just to qualify. Once I have the games that qualify then I go into regular methods to finalize my card.

Important: Vegas lines that exceed 20 become very difficult to adjust for and I generally throw those out.

Key: When my adjusted lines select a dog to win outright it has been extremely successful.

As the season moves along, my lines and the Vegas lines are much more similar and it allows for better results when we have something that stands out.

Mississippi St -1.5
Temple -4.5
West Virginia -12
Houston -16.5
Georgia Tech -18 research
East Carolina -22.5 research
South Carolina -2
Duke -1.5 Outright dog
Hawaii -6.5 Outright dog
Wisconsin -20.5
Florida -14.5
Nebraska -15
LSU -12.5
Iowa -6 qualifier for Iowa St
California -6 qualifier for Colorado
Oklahoma -3 qualifier for FSU
Michigan -2.5 Outright dog
Miami-Ohio -22 research
Boston College -23 research
Ohio St -15.5 research
BYU -10.5 Outright dog
Utah -26.5 research
Oregon -15.5
Tulsa -5 qualifier for Bowling Green
Texas -29
Texas A&M -9 qualifier for LA Tech
Washington -5.5 qualifier for Syracuse
Ohio U -17
Baylor -4 qualifier for Buffalo
Alabama -10
NC State -0.5 Outright dog
San Diego St -12
SMU -14.5 research
Texas Tech -21
Ole Miss -7.5 a situation like this would get kicked due to the last weeks upset
Stanford -4
Nevada -19.5
USC -11.5 here I would throw out due to no data on Virginia
Kentucky -28
Arkansas -34 too many variables so would toss out
Rice -10.5 Outright dog
Arkansas St -.5 Outright dog
Oklahoma St -14.5
Rutgers -16.5

 

[Cougar Bait]

I love Wally's adjusted lines

Means it's almost time for some black bean pork chili

 

[fiveteamer]

wal Mrx only bets baseball games that his magic spreadsheet tells him to bet.

 

[wal66]

Neither game on Thursday would have qualified. You might have researched Miss St further simply because it was selecting a dog to win outright even though it didn't meet other criteria.