Hooligans Sportsbook

Monday Mud 12/6/10

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wal66

wal66

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Ok Muddy, I wasn't for certain we would start this early but after capping and looking at the lines I have 4 hockey plays that appear to be good options for Mud Play's. I don't plan on overworking you now until Christmas but when there is solid edge (at least from my perspective) we have to take advantage.

Mud Play Options:

Option #1: New Jersey Devils +190
Option #2: New Jersey/Pittsburgh UNDER 6 -115
Option #3: Toronto/Washington UNDER 5.5 -130
Option #4: San Jose/Detroit OVER 5.5 -120

Let's do this Muddy!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
Muddy, you are correct. So does this mean you like New Jersey/Pitt UNDER 5.5 or Toronto/Washington UNDER 6? Or does it mean you would like New Jersey/Pitt UNDER 6 but since that is unavailable you have no choice?
 
Normally it is automatic for me to bet the OVER on 6 and UNDER on 5 but in this case there is some very good numbers to suggest the UNDER even with the total set at 6. My personal fav tonight is New Jersey Pitt UNDER and New Jersey winning outright 2-1.
 
In simplistic terms, I like the UNDER in Pittsburgh as well. But at -130 I don't see it as value. It is one of those things. As a forum bet where you either win or lose then forget it, it is a good bet. There is a better than 50/50 you come away as a winner on your posted play.

But I always think in terms of long-term real betting where my stats show that, even though you win on more occasions than you lose, laying -130 on that UNDER will grind you down and cost you $$$ in the long run.
 
Muddy, I would tell you that the Mud Plays are intended to be the game with the highest potential for winning not ROI but I'll not do that. You are a pro Muddy and you have to be true to what works for you. I don't want to change who you are Muddy, I merely want to get caught in your magic.
 
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