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Lisicki

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I am not really a gambler that bets on tennis, more of a tennis fan that just took up tennis wagering because I watch it religiously and follow it and I thought I could make some money. Most of these bets in this thread have been pretty much players I have done well on, stuff like the Bryan brothers are basically like free money in parlays through the years, Ferrer is the most profitable player I have ever bet on.

I like Sloane but I am mainly going against Stephens today because she really hasnt looked that impressive in the matches I have seen, 3 setters in all the ones I have watched at wimbledon. She did take out Hampton in two and she always seems to step it up at at slams, she has a great serve for wta and strong groundstrokes but really hasnt been that impressive this year.

Bartoli has really good numbers at Wimbledon, good surface stats, and has been impressive at Wimbledon this year, she has looked really strong so far in the matches I have watched. Worried about Bartolis serve but its the WTA and that is a given outside of Serena and a very few players. Bartoli is a tough one to trust but I am really surprised to see Sloane make it this far.

This is one player I truly love wagering on choo. He is 5'9 ( maybe) of pure spanish fight

Wed.

Ferrer -1.5 -114
 
Ferrer always fights and probably one of the fittest players on the tour even at 31, if he had a overpowering serve he would have been one of the big 3 but gambling wise there have been few better players to wager on over the last few years. He has struggled at times here this tourney but I know I will get my moneys worth with him. Most people know about tennis insight, oncourt, etc but if you havent checked out Jeff Sackmann ( Jeff Sackmann @tennisabstract ) , check this site out. http://www.tennisabstract.com/ One of the more interesting writers on tennis out there and tons of great stuff on this site, he did alot of stuff with wall street journals tennis writing http://blogs.wsj.com/dailyfix/2013/06/27/2013-wimbledon-why-andy-murray-isnt-a-lock-for-the-final/ . Good luck this week
 
I really like Ferrer but sackmann has del potro a slight favorite. I dont see it even if Del Potro were 100%, but Delpotro has been pretty flawless in this tourney, he hasn't lost a set at wimbledon and he has only dropped serve twice. Ferrer has really been tested but we will get our money worth no doubt from Ferrer at least, the over should hit if Del Potro is in good shape and takes this. Ferrer will fight. Sackmann likes Murray and he really likes Radwanska to win wimbledon

tennisabstract.com beta

http://tennisabstract.com/current/2013WimbledonWomenForecast.html

http://www.tennisabstract.com/

2013 Wimbledon Ladies' Draw Forecast


Player
(23)Sabine Lisicki (GER) Finals 19.2% Winner 7.9%
(4)Agnieszka Radwanska (POL) Finals 80.8% Winner 60.1%
(15)Marion Bartoli (FRA) Finals 58.4% Winner 20.3%
(20)Kirsten Flipkens (BEL) Finals 41.6% Winner 11.7%

2013 Wimbledon Gentlemen's Draw Forecast


Player
SF Finals Winner
(1)Novak Djokovic (SRB) sf 73.5% f 51.0% w 33.8%
(7)Tomas Berdych (CZE) sf 26.5% f 11.9% w 5.2%
(4)David Ferrer (ESP) sf 46.3% f 16.3% w 7.6%
(8)Juan Martin Del Potro (ARG) sf 53.7% f 20.7% w 10.3%
Lukasz Kubot (POL) sf 36.4% f 4.6% w 0.5%
(24)Jerzy Janowicz (POL) sf 63.6% f 12.5% w 2.1%
Fernando Verdasco (ESP) sf 11.3% f 5.5% w 0.7%
(2)Andy Murray (GBR) sf 88.7% f 77.4% w 39.9%

wednesday

I am on Ferrer at -1.5 ,-2

Ferrer/Del Potro o41.5 -110

Berdych +1.5 sets -118

Janowicz -6 +100

Murray -2.5 sets -134
 
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Saw eaglesphan post this in tennis subforum at sbr. https://twitter.com/TennisReporters/statuses/351770131673788416

[TWEET]351770131673788416 [/TWEET]

Matt Cronin
‏@TennisReporters
Del Potro says his knee hurts him a lot. No danger, but cant extend 100%. Not good news versus Ferrer.


Even if this quote is all strategic bullshit and Del Potro is 100%, Ferrer will fight if he is down a set. That over seems like a nice hedge in this, I really like David to win this one though. If DP isnt 100% , ferrer will run him ragged.